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NVDA's First Negative Week: A Nothingburger...?

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Feb 10, 2025 · 16:18

<h3><strong><a href="https://themarketear.com/posts/czfVNfRGd9">NVDA: Probably nothing...</a></strong></h3><p>First negative week for Nvidia since April. Only short consolidation or trend reversal?</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd435f2b0-b4c1-4b1a-8388-85993e6ebb7f_772x325.png" target="_blank"><div class="image2-inset"><source type="image/webp" /><img alt="&lt;a href=&quot;https://themarketear.com/posts/czfVNfRGd9&quot; rel=&quot;noopener noreferrer&quot; target=&quot;_blank&quot;&gt;NVDA: Probably nothing...&lt;/a&gt;" class="sizing-normal" height="325" src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd435f2b0-b4c1-4b1a-8388-85993e6ebb7f_772x325.png" title="&lt;a href=&quot;https://themarketear.com/posts/czfVNfRGd9&quot; rel=&quot;noopener noreferrer&quot; target=&quot;_blank&quot;&gt;NVDA: Probably nothing...&lt;/a&gt;" width="772" /><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><div class="pencraft pc-reset icon-container restack-image"><svg class="lucide lucide-refresh-cw" fill="none" height="20" stroke="currentColor" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" stroke-width="2" viewBox="0 0 24 24" width="20" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><path d="M3 12a9 9 0 0 1 9-9 9.75 9.75 0 0 1 6.74 2.74L21 8"></path><path d="M21 3v5h-5"></path><path d="M21 12a9 9 0 0 1-9 9 9.75 9.75 0 0 1-6.74-2.74L3 16"></path><path d="M8 16H3v5"></path></svg></div><div class="pencraft pc-reset icon-container view-image"><svg class="lucide lucide-maximize2" fill="none" height="20" stroke="currentColor" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" stroke-width="2" viewBox="0 0 24 24" width="20" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></div></div></div></div></a><figcaption class="image-caption">Source: Bloomberg</figcaption></figure></div><h3><strong><a href="https://themarketear.com/posts/c1_L0QSKz-">Probably nothing (II)</a></strong></h3><p>Insider selling in NVDA is at the fastest pace in years.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7039ec6e-b45f-4cbe-8088-a96cdb214c6e_1401x734.png" target="_blank"><div class="image2-inset"><source type="image/webp" /><img alt="&lt;a href=&quot;https://themarketear.com/posts/c1_L0QSKz-&quot; rel=&quot;noopener noreferrer&quot; target=&quot;_blank&quot;&gt;Probably nothing (II)&lt;/a&gt;" class="sizing-normal" height="734" src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7039ec6e-b45f-4cbe-8088-a96cdb214c6e_1401x734.png" title="&lt;a href=&quot;https://themarketear.com/posts/c1_L0QSKz-&quot; rel=&quot;noopener noreferrer&quot; target=&quot;_blank&quot;&gt;Probably nothing (II)&lt;/a&gt;" width="1401" /><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><div class="pencraft pc-reset icon-container restack-image"><svg class="lucide lucide-refresh-cw" fill="none" height="20" stroke="currentColor" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" stroke-width="2" viewBox="0 0 24 24" width="20" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><path d="M3 12a9 9 0 0 1 9-9 9.75 9.75 0 0 1 6.74 2.74L21 8"></path><path d="M21 3v5h-5"></path><path d="M21 12a9 9 0 0 1-9 9 9.75 9.75 0 0 1-6.74-2.74L3 16"></path><path d="M8 16H3v5"></path></svg></div><div class="pencraft pc-reset icon-container view-image"><svg class="lucide lucide-maximize2" fill="none" height="20" stroke="currentColor" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" stroke-width="2" viewBox="0 0 24 24" width="20" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></div></div></div></div></a><figcaption class="image-caption">Source: Sentiment Trader</figcaption></figure></div><h3><strong><a href="https://themarketear.com/posts/cN7N99Sq3Q">NVDA YOLO</a></strong></h3><p>Some serious daily retail inflow into NVDA</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F20379a01-a011-46fc-b1f5-658aa07f262c_602x637.png" target="_blank"><div class="image2-inset"><source type="image/webp" /><img alt="&lt;a href=&quot;https://themarketear.com/posts/cN7N99Sq3Q&quot; rel=&quot;noopener noreferrer&quot; target=&quot;_blank&quot;&gt;NVDA YOLO&lt;/a&gt;" class="sizing-normal" height="637" src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F20379a01-a011-46fc-b1f5-658aa07f262c_602x637.png" title="&lt;a href=&quot;https://themarketear.com/posts/cN7N99Sq3Q&quot; rel=&quot;noopener noreferrer&quot; target=&quot;_blank&quot;&gt;NVDA YOLO&lt;/a&gt;" width="602" /><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><div class="pencraft pc-reset icon-container restack-image"><svg class="lucide lucide-refresh-cw" fill="none" height="20" stroke="currentColor" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" stroke-width="2" viewBox="0 0 24 24" width="20" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><path d="M3 12a9 9 0 0 1 9-9 9.75 9.75 0 0 1 6.74 2.74L21 8"></path><path d="M21 3v5h-5"></path><path d="M21 12a9 9 0 0 1-9 9 9.75 9.75 0 0 1-6.74-2.74L3 16"></path><path d="M8 16H3v5"></path></svg></div><div class="pencraft pc-reset icon-container view-image"><svg class="lucide lucide-maximize2" fill="none" height="20" stroke="currentColor" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" stroke-width="2" viewBox="0 0 24 24" width="20" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></div></div></div></div></a><figcaption class="image-caption">Source: Vanda</figcaption></figure></div><h3><strong><a href="https://themarketear.com/posts/cHISxvj6C5">Already?</a></strong></h3><p>People seem to be buying the NVDA dip. The stock is putting in some sort of a hammer like candle in the lower part of the "imperfect" trend channel. Note the 21 day is down around 120.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F77ccf8e2-f8d2-47f2-bb03-d816fa6d2f7e_1302x887.png" target="_blank"><div class="image2-inset"><source type="image/webp" /><img alt="&lt;a href=&quot;https://themarketear.com/posts/cHISxvj6C5&quot; rel=&quot;noopener noreferrer&quot; target=&quot;_blank&quot;&gt;Already?&lt;/a&gt;" class="sizing-normal" height="887" src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F77ccf8e2-f8d2-47f2-bb03-d816fa6d2f7e_1302x887.png" title="&lt;a href=&quot;https://themarketear.com/posts/cHISxvj6C5&quot; rel=&quot;noopener noreferrer&quot; target=&quot;_blank&quot;&gt;Already?&lt;/a&gt;" width="1302" /><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><div class="pencraft pc-reset icon-container restack-image"><svg class="lucide lucide-refresh-cw" fill="none" height="20" stroke="currentColor" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" stroke-width="2" viewBox="0 0 24 24" width="20" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><path d="M3 12a9 9 0 0 1 9-9 9.75 9.75 0 0 1 6.74 2.74L21 8"></path><path d="M21 3v5h-5"></path><path d="M21 12a9 9 0 0 1-9 9 9.75 9.75 0 0 1-6.74-2.74L3 16"></path><path d="M8 16H3v5"></path></svg></div><div class="pencraft pc-reset icon-container view-image"><svg class="lucide lucide-maximize2" fill="none" height="20" stroke="currentColor" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" stroke-width="2" viewBox="0 0 24 24" width="20" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></div></div></div></div></a><figcaption class="image-caption">Source: Refinitiv</figcaption></figure></div><h3><strong><a href="https://themarketear.com/posts/ciAnb8ed81">Semis 100%-tile</a></strong></h3><p>From a global perspective, Semis L/S ratio (among just HFs) is back near 10 year highs and net exposure is back up to the top of the trend again.&nbsp;</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F36d4ef85-b9ca-4b75-99c7-68a64be1f00d_630x415.png" target="_blank"><div class="image2-inset"><source type="image/webp" /><img alt="&lt;a href=&quot;https://themarketear.com/posts/ciAnb8ed81&quot; rel=&quot;noopener noreferrer&quot; target=&quot;_blank&quot;&gt;Semis 100%-tile&lt;/a&gt;" class="sizing-normal" height="415" src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F36d4ef85-b9ca-4b75-99c7-68a64be1f00d_630x415.png" title="&lt;a href=&quot;https://themarketear.com/posts/ciAnb8ed81&quot; rel=&quot;noopener noreferrer&quot; target=&quot;_blank&quot;&gt;Semis 100%-tile&lt;/a&gt;" width="630" /><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><div class="pencraft pc-reset icon-container restack-image"><svg class="lucide lucide-refresh-cw" fill="none" height="20" stroke="currentColor" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" stroke-width="2" viewBox="0 0 24 24" width="20" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><path d="M3 12a9 9 0 0 1 9-9 9.75 9.75 0 0 1 6.74 2.74L21 8"></path><path d="M21 3v5h-5"></path><path d="M21 12a9 9 0 0 1-9 9 9.75 9.75 0 0 1-6.74-2.74L3 16"></path><path d="M8 16H3v5"></path></svg></div><div class="pencraft pc-reset icon-container view-image"><svg class="lucide lucide-maximize2" fill="none" height="20" stroke="currentColor" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" stroke-width="2" viewBox="0 0 24 24" width="20" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></div></div></div></div></a><figcaption class="image-caption">Source: JPM PI</figcaption></figure></div><h3><strong><a href="https://themarketear.com/posts/ccbfdRN6Xv">Semis could be flat / weaker from here</a></strong></h3><p>"...our combined metric (hfs, etfs, retail) of flows &amp; positioning in us semis has jumped back to peaks from which semis have often been flat / weaker"</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fcd661224-348d-46b6-974f-d17d940e37a8_903x455.png" target="_blank"><div class="image2-inset"><source type="image/webp" /><img alt="&lt;a href=&quot;https://themarketear.com/posts/ccbfdRN6Xv&quot; rel=&quot;noopener noreferrer&quot; target=&quot;_blank&quot;&gt;Semis could be flat / weaker from here&lt;/a&gt;" class="sizing-normal" height="455" src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fcd661224-348d-46b6-974f-d17d940e37a8_903x455.png" title="&lt;a href=&quot;https://themarketear.com/posts/ccbfdRN6Xv&quot; rel=&quot;noopener noreferrer&quot; target=&quot;_blank&quot;&gt;Semis could be flat / weaker from here&lt;/a&gt;" width="903" /><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><div class="pencraft pc-reset icon-container restack-image"><svg class="lucide lucide-refresh-cw" fill="none" height="20" stroke="currentColor" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" stroke-width="2" viewBox="0 0 24 24" width="20" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><path d="M3 12a9 9 0 0 1 9-9 9.75 9.75 0 0 1 6.74 2.74L21 8"></path><path d="M21 3v5h-5"></path><path d="M21 12a9 9 0 0 1-9 9 9.75 9.75 0 0 1-6.74-2.74L3 16"></path><path d="M8 16H3v5"></path></svg></div><div class="pencraft pc-reset icon-container view-image"><svg class="lucide lucide-maximize2" fill="none" height="20" stroke="currentColor" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" stroke-width="2" viewBox="0 0 24 24" width="20" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></div></div></div></div></a><figcaption class="image-caption">Source: JPM PI</figcaption></figure></div><h3><strong><a href="https://themarketear.com/posts/cbtCtUTv5k">Biggest increase in P/S</a></strong></h3><p>Here are the stocks in the large-cap Russell 1,000 that have seen the biggest increase in their price to sales (P/S) ratios since the current bull market began on 10/12/22.&nbsp;As shown, NVIDIA (NVDA) has seen its share price rise more than 1,000% during this bull market, but its P/S ratio has made 32 turns higher from 9.7x up to 41.9x!&nbsp;That's by far the biggest jump of any stock in the index.&nbsp;Of the 30 stocks shown, the average P/S ratio has risen 9.6 points from 8.6x up to 18.2x, and most stocks on the list are Tech stocks.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Feb77eb51-5884-4938-a49d-e585289833ce_924x281.png" target="_blank"><div class="image2-inset"><source type="image/webp" /><img alt="&lt;a href=&quot;https://themarketear.com/posts/cbtCtUTv5k&quot; rel=&quot;noopener noreferrer&quot; target=&quot;_blank&quot;&gt;Biggest increase in P/S&lt;/a&gt;" class="sizing-normal" height="281" src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Feb77eb51-5884-4938-a49d-e585289833ce_924x281.png" title="&lt;a href=&quot;https://themarketear.com/posts/cbtCtUTv5k&quot; rel=&quot;noopener noreferrer&quot; target=&quot;_blank&quot;&gt;Biggest increase in P/S&lt;/a&gt;" width="924" /><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><div class="pencraft pc-reset icon-container restack-image"><svg class="lucide lucide-refresh-cw" fill="none" height="20" stroke="currentColor" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" stroke-width="2" viewBox="0 0 24 24" width="20" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><path d="M3 12a9 9 0 0 1 9-9 9.75 9.75 0 0 1 6.74 2.74L21 8"></path><path d="M21 3v5h-5"></path><path d="M21 12a9 9 0 0 1-9 9 9.75 9.75 0 0 1-6.74-2.74L3 16"></path><path d="M8 16H3v5"></path></svg></div><div class="pencraft pc-reset icon-container view-image"><svg class="lucide lucide-maximize2" fill="none" height="20" stroke="currentColor" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" stroke-width="2" viewBox="0 0 24 24" width="20" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></div></div></div></div></a><figcaption class="image-caption">Source: Bespoke</figcaption></figure></div>