<p>Happy Sunday traders. I hope everyone has had a great holiday weekend, and that all of you were able to spend time with those who matter most. </p><p>Heading into the week, it could not be a better time to be a bull. Bitcoin is knocking on the door of $100k, alt-coins are firing off and the laggard $ETH is finally seeing some strong inflows and finding a strong bid. $GC had found a strong bid as well last week while the dollar falters, and both Nasdaq and growth names continue to remain strong. All is well…</p><p>Many, many traders are experiencing euphoria. As it would be, I have started my Yearly Outlook for 2025, and if you were a discord member of mine you should recall my 2024 Yearly Outlook. Some things I missed bigly such as the resurgence in China names, other things I correctly outlined such as the massive breakout in growth related stocks. That said, right now if I had to guess 2025 is going to be similar to 2022 than 2024 or 2023. Only time will tell!</p><p>It’s been a pretty good run here in the Chronicle lately, and below is my breakdown of one of our recent winning setups, shared in last week’s Weekly Outlook. The setup was simple: short SMCI once it came into the short GP. You can read my full analysis below.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9e5927ac-1dba-4741-818e-6ba5d8aff974_1626x1626.png" target="_blank"><div class="image2-inset"><source type="image/webp" /><img alt="" class="sizing-normal" height="1456" src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9e5927ac-1dba-4741-818e-6ba5d8aff974_1626x1626.png" width="1456" /><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><div class="pencraft pc-reset icon-container restack-image"><svg class="lucide lucide-refresh-cw" fill="none" height="20" stroke="currentColor" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" stroke-width="2" viewBox="0 0 24 24" width="20" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><path d="M3 12a9 9 0 0 1 9-9 9.75 9.75 0 0 1 6.74 2.74L21 8"></path><path d="M21 3v5h-5"></path><path d="M21 12a9 9 0 0 1-9 9 9.75 9.75 0 0 1-6.74-2.74L3 16"></path><path d="M8 16H3v5"></path></svg></div><div class="pencraft pc-reset icon-container view-image"><svg class="lucide lucide-maximize2" fill="none" height="20" stroke="currentColor" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" stroke-width="2" viewBox="0 0 24 24" width="20" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></div></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>After closing inside the short GP last week, SMCI has seen a sharp -$6 selloff, or -16%. Above is how all of my breakdowns look like more or less, I try to keep it as simple as possible while laying out my entire trade thesis. As always, I never share a half-ass setup that has a low probability of working out.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Feb9d177e-e0c8-4159-84ee-caf887615330_3286x1862.png" target="_blank"><div class="image2-inset"><source type="image/webp" /><img alt="" class="sizing-normal" height="825" src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Feb9d177e-e0c8-4159-84ee-caf887615330_3286x1862.png" width="1456" /><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><div class="pencraft pc-reset icon-container restack-image"><svg class="lucide lucide-refresh-cw" fill="none" height="20" stroke="currentColor" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" stroke-width="2" viewBox="0 0 24 24" width="20" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><path d="M3 12a9 9 0 0 1 9-9 9.75 9.75 0 0 1 6.74 2.74L21 8"></path><path d="M21 3v5h-5"></path><path d="M21 12a9 9 0 0 1-9 9 9.75 9.75 0 0 1-6.74-2.74L3 16"></path><path d="M8 16H3v5"></path></svg></div><div class="pencraft pc-reset icon-container view-image"><svg class="lucide lucide-maximize2" fill="none" height="20" stroke="currentColor" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" stroke-width="2" viewBox="0 0 24 24" width="20" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></div></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>That said, I am running a Black Friday discount for all new subscribers. If you’re interested in upgrading your subscription to the Chronicle so you don’t miss the next high probability setup, click on the button below!</p><p class="button-wrapper"><a class="button primary" href="https://fathertimechronicles.substack.com/subscribe?coupon=3241b7b8&utm_content=152416985"><span>Get 20% off forever</span></a></p>
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