AI demand is exploding → Everyone needs GPUs
Who sells them? NVIDIA.
Stargate plan → More AI demand → More $$$
• Earnings per share (EPS) going up, but stock is down → Opportunity
• Fundamentals remain strong, analysts are bullish
Stock has been red for the last 3 months = Potential earnings run-up
• Earnings in 20 days → Market could start pricing it in
• DeepSeek FUD = Nonsense
• “China making its own AI chips!” → Reality: DeepSeek uses NVIDIA chips
• More competition for OpenAI & Anthropic, not NVIDIA
• DeepSeek struggling to get users → Not even real competition
• NVIDIA wins.
Trump Tariffs = Bluff & Negotiation Tactic
• Trump starts extreme, then dials it back
• Market overreacting to something that may not stick
• He just met with Jensen Huang → He’ll do what’s best for U.S. companies
Amazon Earnings Tonight = Tech Volatility
• Amazon beats? → NVIDIA gets a boost
• Amazon flops? → Could drag NVIDIA down
Risks to Watch
1. Trump tariff escalation – If he goes harder than expected, sentiment could take a hit
2. China retaliation – Aggressive response from China could impact NVIDIA sales
3. Broad market downturn – If macro conditions worsen, NVIDIA could get dragged down
4. Amazon earnings tonight – A big miss could hit tech stocks short-term
5. Earnings miss in 20 days – Unlikely, but weak guidance could hurt the stock
6. Competition narrative – If media hypes up another “AI chip competitor,” weak hands could panic
Market shook for the wrong reasons
• DeepSeek isn’t real competition (they use NVIDIA chips)
• Trump tariffs likely a bluff
• AI demand still skyrocketing
My plays:
• 4x $120C (05/16) @ $12.67
• 5x $120C (04/17) @ $11.40
• 1x $110C (10/17) @ $25.87
Let’s see how this plays out 💰