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30-Year Yield Hits 5.44% as Fed Hike Odds Surge Past 70%.

U
Sep 24, 2026 · 12:28

The 30-year Treasury yield hitting 5.44% means the bond market sell-off is officially getting ugly. For those holding high-multiple tech or growth stocks, watch closely because higher yields directly crush equity valuations. As big funds can get a guaranteed 5.4% yield from the government, they stop paying crazy premiums for risky growth companies, and higher borrowing costs will hurt corporate margins. A lot of pressure is expected on heavily leveraged companies and tech names this week, while TLT is probably going to keep bleeding until the Fed gives us some hint of a pause.

It also shows how widespread this sell-off is. The 10-year yield just climbed to 5.15% after jumping 16 basis points yesterday, and the 30-year is sitting at 5.44%. The main driver here is that the market is completely repricing the Fed's next move. After hawkish comments from St. Louis Fed President Alberto Musalem citing commodity shocks and sticky demand, expectations for another rate hike in October have surged past 70%. Higher for longer is definitely back on the table, and it is putting an absolute beating on fixed income across the board, long-duration ETFs like TLT.

What's your defensive play if the Fed actually raises rates again next month?

Source: [CNBC](https://www.cnbc.com/2026/09/24/us-treasury-yields-bonds-fed-inflation.html)

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