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REDDIT

Real output, not market price

Does anyone else build spreadsheets for their portfolio where they count their companies' output and future output, not the current market price of their portfolio?

It feels a lot more reassuring when you know you own XX barrels of oil a year or XX ounces of gold a year. Market price can move wherever it wants, but production and profits remain grounded. Factories and mines under construction at 30-45% IRR projected to produce future earnings of a magnitude equivalent to current market cap. Let the market pummel them; when they come online, the market will change its mind and revalue them. P/NPV of 0.2-0.5.