BTC stuck under $82K resistance again, Fed hike odds above 60%, oil spike on Iran, this is not a "sell into strength" market

Rent was due this week and BTC's been stuck under that $82K wall for a week straight (rejected there Sept 3, now bouncing around $78-79K). Normally I'd just sell a chunk and deal with it. This time I didn't.

Fed hike odds are sitting above 60% for the meeting later this month, oil spiked on the Iran situation, and yields have been doing that nervous back-and-forth thing where the market can't decide if it wants to be scared or relieved. We ripped 5% last Thursday and everyone called the bottom of the cycle. Four days later we're back under $80K. This is not a market where I want to be forced into a sell decision because my landlord doesn't take BTC.

So instead I took a crypto-backed loan against part of my holdings to cover it through nехо. Kept my position, got the cash and moved on. Some of what's actually moving this week if you haven't been following:

* Market cap back up to $2.78T, Fear & Greed cooled slightly to 66 after touching 69
* Strive added 1,375 BTC last week at an average cost around $79K, bringing total holdings to over 24,500 BTC
* Strategy (MSTR) repurchased $176M of STRC and expanded its Digital Credit Securities program to $2B, still sitting on 845,050 BTC and $6.5B cash
* Ethereum's quantum-resistance roadmap announcement helped ETH hold up better than BTC on the down days, plus more corporate accumulation
* XRP was the one major green candle during Tuesday's dip, up over 1% while everything else was red
* Robinhооd took a stake in Cryptоcоm and is adding prediction markets, which is a weird but telling signal about where TradFi thinks this is going
* Germany's ending tax-free long-term crypto holding after 2026, gains, staking, and lending get taxed as income starting 2027

None of this tells me where price goes next, I'm not calling a bottom or a top. It's just the backdrop for why I made the call I made this week: hold, don't sell, borrow if I need liquidity.