Hi y'all,
I'm brand new to swing trading and wanted to say hi and share my first setup. So far, only paper trading for a while to test the system and strategies.
I'm building my own stack on top of IBKR. Since I'm in Sweden, I can benefit from trading inside an ISK account, which is almost tax free.
I'm starting with two basic strategies and would love to get your feedback on them:
***1) 70% Momentum Leader Breakout***
*Buys the single strongest stock in each market at the moment it breaks out of a calm consolidation. Most mornings it finds nothing worth buying - that is the strategy working, not failing.*
*Looks for*
*A stock in a long uptrend (above its 50, 150 and 200-day averages, near its 52-week high), ranked in the top 10% of its market, in a leading industry, with quarterly results accelerating.*
*Buys when*
*After a tight 10-40 session consolidation, the price breaks above the pivot and the first five minutes of trading confirm it with unusual volume. Entries only before 11:00 local time.*
*Risks*
*0.35% of the account per trade. A protective stop below the breakout is placed with the entry as one order - the position is never unprotected.*
*Sells*
*30% of the position at +2R. Exits fully if day 5 shows no progress, if price closes below the 10-day average after the partial, and always before the next earnings report.*
***2) 30% Earnings Episodic Pivot***
*Buys a stock gapping up on a genuinely good earnings report, betting the surprise takes weeks to be fully priced in. Rarer than the breakout - it needs last night's report to be strong.*
*Looks for*
*An overnight earnings or guidance release with a positive surprise, a gap up of at least 10%, and opening volume running far above normal.*
*Buys when*
*The first five-minute range breaks to the upside after such a report. Same-day entries only - the edge decays fast.*
*Risks*
*0.35% of the account per trade, stop under the session low, never wider than 1 ATR or 8%. Same protected bracket as the breakout.*
*Sells*
*30% at +2R, then trails the 20-day average. Same day-5 progress check and earnings lockout as the breakout.*
In the images you can see the data I track ongoing for analyzing and evaluating, let me know if you feel something else should be tracked!
I'd love to get your feedback.