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REDDIT

Bitcoin Quantum Threat: The Race To Quantum-Proof Crypto

C
Aug 2, 2026 · 17:52

**Is the race toward quantum-safe crypto already underway?**

Some key takeaways:

* Galaxy Digital estimates roughly **7 million BTC**, worth about **$470 billion**, are held in addresses with exposed public keys.
* Researchers continue to reduce estimates for the quantum resources required to attack today's public-key cryptography.
* Ethereum Foundation researcher Justin Drake estimates a **10% probability by 2032** that a quantum computer could derive a Bitcoin private key from an exposed public key.
* Bitcoin developers are debating how a post-quantum migration should work, highlighting that the challenge is now being taken seriously.

The article also highlights several approaches being explored across the industry. Besides migration proposals for existing blockchains, it mentions projects already built around **post-quantum cryptography**, including **Quantum Resistant Ledger (QRL)**, **Algorand** and **BTQ**, alongside newer companies developing quantum-safe solutions.

To me, the most interesting takeaway is that **quantum-safe crypto** is no longer a niche topic. It is becoming an increasingly important part of the conversation around the future of blockchain security.

If quantum computing continues to advance on its current trajectory, networks that already use **standardized post-quantum cryptography**, or have a credible path to adopting it, could have a significant long-term advantage.

We're witnessing the early stages of one of the biggest security transitions in computing history.

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