On lower timeframes, how do you tell a real move from noise before the candle closes?
The lower i go the worse this gets and i don't have a rule for it. on the 1h a level breaks and i mostly trust it. on the 15m or 5m a break happens and half the time it's real, half the time it's a wick that snaps straight back, and i only know which after it's already done.
waiting for the candle to close helps but by then a chunk of the move is gone, especially in crypto where 15m candles can be huge. entering before the close gets me the better price and a lot more fakeouts.
what i've tried. volume on the breaking candle, which helps some but low-liquidity pairs give false volume spikes too. requiring the next candle to hold above the level before entering, safer but that's just closing-and-waiting with extra steps.
so for people trading crypto on lower timeframes, what actually separates a real break from noise in the moment. is it volume relative to recent bars, is it whether it breaks a level that matters on the higher timeframe, order book depth, or do you just accept the fakeout rate as the cost of a better entry and size for it