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SK Hynix earnings dropping soon, but the real question is whether the LTAs hold up

K
Jul 23, 2026 · 12:14

Numbers are probably gonna be insane. Revenue up 264% YoY, operating margin near 75%, gross margin over 84%. On paper that's a monster quarter.

But ngl, everyone already knows this. The beat is priced in. What the market actually wants to see is the LTA details, like committed volume, HBM4 exposure, pricing floors. Can these long-term agreements flatten the earnings cycle all the way into 2027 or is this just peak and dump?

Checked the options flow on MooMoo, gamma flip sitting at $169.79 with $150 puts as floor and $180 calls as resistance. The range feels tight for a print this big.

Also watching $MU here. If Hynix's Q3 DRAM pricing outlook comes in strong (20-30% QoQ growth projected), that's a direct read-through. Micron's own LTA disclosures were pretty vague so any specifics from Hynix could reprice the whole memory complex fast.

Am I overthinking the LTA angle or is everyone else sitting on this same concern?

https://preview.redd.it/itdq1qlr0zeh1.jpg?width=1600&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=5ad764d398a0fbdabb887010ea618d8e8bda984f