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REDDIT

Why I’m watching late July for the AI trade

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Jul 20, 2026 · 23:33

I don’t think this AI selloff is the market suddenly deciding AI is fake. Tbh, it looks more like the most crowded trade on earth finally getting stress tested

SOX is already in technical bear market territory, and the weird part is that good news stopped working

Cooler CPI? Sold, Strong ASML and TSMC demand? Also sold **why?**

Late July feels important. If semis stop making new lows and mega cap earnings can explain AI spending as real revenue growth, we might get a bounce

Not calling a bottom. Just watching for the moment good news stops getting punished

Summer reset, or first real crack in the AI trade?

So what do you think?