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REDDIT

1-year backtest on my combined strategy + AI predictor for NDX100 stocks — starting live this week

Spent the last while building a new trading strategy paired with an AI predictor for Nasdaq 100 names. Just finished a 1-year sim (2025-01 → 2026-01, $2K starting capital) and figured I'd share before I take it live.

Headline numbers:

* **+158.96%** total return ($2,000 → $5,179)
* **61 trades**, win rate **52.46%**, avg P/L per trade **+4.55%**
* **Max drawdown 9.19%**, peak $5,447
* **Avg hold 16.5 days**, fund deployment **91.28%** across the window
* TP / SL / Expired split: **16 / 26 / 19** (so most exits are stops or expiries, not TPs — the winners are doing the heavy lifting)
* Circuit breaker: 3 consecutive SLs → 5-day cooldown. Fired 4 times, paused trading \~9.6% of the window.

Going live this week with real money. Wish me luck — and if anyone wants to poke holes in the methodology before I light the match, please do.