i tracked every squeeze play posted here for 6 months and most of them went absolutely nowhere heres what i found

so after getting rekt on like 3 different squeeze plays last year i got annoyed and started actually keeping track of every stock that got posted as a squeeze setup on this sub and wsb from january through now

47 tickers total and honestly most of them were garbage heres what actually mattered

float size under 50m shares was the only thing that consistently predicted an actual move. 7 out of 8 that actually squeezed more than 30% in 5 days had that. wen has like 130m tradable float so it can move but dont expect gme type numbers from it

short interest only mattered above 25%. below that the data was all over the place some worked most didnt. the ones that did work also had borrow costs rising not just high percentage. if you cant check borrow rate youre basically guessing on squeezes

heres one nobody talks about and it killed me twice. upcoming offerings/atm stuff. if a company is about to dilute shorts dont cover they just hold and wait. had 3 "squeeze plays" completely die because an 8-k dropped 2 days later announcing a new offering. takes 2 minutes to check recent filings do it

options availability weirdly mattered more than i expected at first. stocks without liquid options just didnt squeeze as hard im pretty sure its because institutional hedging creates gamma pressure and without that its pure retail fomo which fades fast. wen has options active so thats part of why its moving harder than it probably should on fundamentals alone

catalyst is obvious but people skip it anyway. why NOW. new cfo earnings beat fda approval whatever. something has to give people a reason to pile in today not next month. without a why-now catalyst its just a high short interest stock doing nothing

what did NOT matter at all: retail sentiment (useless), being oversold (also useless), or wsb talking about it (they post about 20 stocks a week most go absolutely nowhere)

applying this to WEN right now it checks most boxes. short interests around 30%, options are liquid, actual catalyst with the cfo thing. what idk is if theres an offering lined up and thats the one thing that could kill the whole thing if anyone checked let me know

real talk tho if youre buying at 10aftercnbcranasegmentonityourenotearlyyoureexitliquidityforthepeoplewhoboughtat10*aftercnbcranasegmentonityourenotearlyyoureexitliquidityforthepeoplewhoboughtat*7 on the original post. if it holds $8.50 on pullback and volume doesnt fall off maybe one more leg but thats trading not investing

whats everyones checklist on these things? and be real how many of you actually made money on the exit vs just the entry

no positions in any of these rn watching wen for a better entry but no rush