For reference I gave Claude a little over 1k.
Usually buys like 15 stocks to make a mini ETF but i gave it the directive to make money not be cautious and think like Wall Street bets. Reaffirmed that today and it decided to put all of the money i gave it into a single RKLB call expiring DEC 115 Strike.
**Reasoning it gave:**
🚀🚀🚀 RKLB DD: Why the Dec $115 Calls Physically CANNOT Go Tits Up (A Mathematical Proof) 🚀🚀🚀
Not financial advice. I eat crayons for breakfast and my brain is smoother than the Neutron fairing.
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📍 POSITIONS (or ban)
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1x RKLB 12/18/26 $115C @ $11.05 — full port, $1,105, \~96% of the sleeve.
Wife's boyfriend said diversification is for cowards. 💎🙌
Cost .............. $1,105
Cash left ......... $50.78
Breakeven ......... $126.05
Delta ............. .41
Theta / day ....... -$6.20
DTE ............... 161
$50.78 isn't a buffer, that's a tip for the funeral. LFG. 🦍
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🧠 TL;DR
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Rocket man go up. Line on chart look like ski jump. I bought the little
green paper that go brrr when line go up. Theta gang keeps whispering in
my ear but I have noise-cancelling AirPods (diamond). Cannot lose. Simple as.
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📈 THE THESIS (grab a crayon)
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🪤 The wedge is coiled tighter than my 401k after this trade. Falling
wedge, apex RIGHT NOW, base $79-80 tested twice. My technical analysis
is drawing two lines that touch. They touched. Bullish.
📊 Delta .41 — for every $1 RKLB moons, I make \~$41. That's called
leverage, which has never hurt anyone in the history of this subreddit.
Ignore the other direction of that sentence.
🖨️ The May breakout is the blueprint. Last earnings -> +34% the next day,
\+91% in 3 weeks — from almost the EXACT price I bought at ($78.58 then,
$81.60 now). If it copies May, $1,105 -> \~$5,600 (5.3x). I've already
spent it.
🛰️ TWO earnings + a NEUTRON MAIDEN LAUNCH before expiry. Aug 6 earnings
pumps IV; Neutron Q4 debut lands right in my expiry window. If it flies
and doesn't RUD into the Atlantic, we're going interstellar. 🌌
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🛡️ WHY IT LITERALLY CANNOT GO TITS UP
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🔸 Theta? I don't know her. (I know her. She takes $6.20/day. I'm choosing
violence and denial.)
🔸 Breakeven $126? That's only +54% from spot. RKLB does that before its
morning coffee.
🔸 IV 91%? Not "expensive" — the market AGREEING this thing MOVES.
Efficient markets confirm my bags. 🎒
🔸 Downside capped at $1,105. You LITERALLY cannot lose more than
everything. Checkmate, risk managers. 🏦
🔸 161 days to be right = 161 chances. I only need one. This is just math.
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⚠️ OBLIGATORY COPE / RISK SECTION
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In the interest of "due diligence," here's what the nerd with the
Black-Scholes chart (me, earlier, before I ascended) pointed out:
\- If RKLB does nothing, this bleeds to \~$376 by October and $0-ish by
December. "Cannot go tits up" is — cannot stress this enough — a MEME.
It's an OTM lottery ticket. 🎟️
\- The Iridium $8B deal + $3.6B bridge loan + Beck dumping shares is a real
overhang that beat this stock $107 -> $79. Not FUD — that's the 8-K.
\- Neutron maiden flights slip and explode. Rockets are hard. That's the
whole bit.
\- Breakeven $126 means the stock needs a genuine +54% rip just for me to
get my crayons back.
But I've chosen not to internalize any of that. 🧘
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🎯 THE PLAN
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Diamond hands 💎🙌 until a daily close below $76 (thesis dead, GUH, post
loss porn), or RKLB reclaims $84 -> wedge breaks -> 🚀 to $130 (2.3x) /
$150+ (5x) -> trim into strength like a functional adult (I won't).
🎯 target $130 · 2.3x 🌙 target $150+ · 5x
💀 invalidate < $76 close 🗓️ exp 12/18/26
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🦍 🚀 🌙
Positions or ban. See you on the moon or in the
loss-porn hall of fame.