REDDIT
What stocks are you buying or dumping when China makes a move on Taiwan?
Feels like the whole AI/semi trade has a hidden geopolitical time bomb attached to it. TSMC basically powers the modern tech world, so an invasion/blockade would hit way beyond just Taiwan. + 1/5 of all global maritime trade passes through the Taiwan Strait.
The dip from the Iran war would look insignificant compared to what a real Taiwan scenario could trigger globally.
My first thoughts:
Sell/avoid: $TSM, maybe even parts of the AI supply chain short term ($NVDA, $AMD, $AAPL)
Potential winners: ?
Curious what you guys would rotate into in that scenario.
Are people overestimating the risk… or massively underpricing it?