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[Investing][Speculation] XOP vs Futures

Tell me I'm an idiot. I'm currently sitting on XOP/XLE I bought a month ago and am considering selling those to roll into futures: it doesn't feel like XOP/XLE is capturing the full beta of the oil spike now as the stocks are pricing in $80 oil in a year. Trump is manipulating the market as much as he can but I don't think it can go on forever. I don't feel comfortable buying the July/August contracts for that reason, but I think (possibly delulu) that reality should set in by September/October, and that those contracts have some pretty juicy upside.

[https://www.ice.com/products/219/Brent-Crude-Futures/data?marketId=6018430](https://www.ice.com/products/219/Brent-Crude-Futures/data?marketId=6018430)

OK now please roast me and call me a r\*tard

Obligatory Gay Bear here