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REDDIT

Is AI token spend becoming the new cloud bill?

A
Apr 29, 2026 · 06:28

SemiAnalysis’ Dylan Patel said on Invest Like the Best that his firm’s AI spend went from “tens of thousands” last year to a \~$7M annualized Claude Code run-rate. That sounds like token spend becoming the new cloud bill.

Meanwhile, OpenAI reportedly has a \~$300B $ORCL cloud deal, Anthropic/Amazon announced up to 5GW of AWS capacity, and $NVDA just reported $62.3B of data center revenue, up 75% YoY.

Is this durable enterprise token demand l, or are hyperscalers front-loading capex before ROIC is proven?