The stock market went up today because Iran hasn't retaliated yet and the market will go down hard if they do

The US and Iran have disagreed on a ceasefire. Initially, we saw all stocks drop. Then Trump announces that he will literally blockade the Strait in order to open it up. This means this is a time bomb now

If Iran doesn't retaliate and reportedly continues to seek some kind of deal, then the market will shoot up

If Iran decides that they attack the blockade, the market will collapse

There's a lot of biased political bias out there. This is highly Voltaire in the stock market by President Trump and if this succeeds, then the US controls the Strait and the market will shoot up like crazy. If Iran fights back which I believe the market was expecting within the past day, then the market tanks.