There seems to be no way anyone except USA benefits from the war.
Scenario A: ๐ฅญ ๐ ๐ฎ๐ทAN, middle east becomes radio active, no petrol and oil from region for next 100 years, we lose 30-40% of global crude and other oil output. price increases permanently till new supplies comes up from other countries or we shift to other sources. Timeline 2 to 5 years
Scenarios B: ๐ฅญ ๐ฎ๐ฎ, but ๐ฎ๐ทAN still refuses to open the straight coz it gay for gay bears. So short term 20 to 30% oil reduction for 1 years, price increases till they ๐ out and resume production.
DD: So since we lose oil either way, prices gonna increase. Puts for 6 months, leaps for 2 years on world and USA.
Positions: PUTs for May 4 - 600 Strike