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REDDIT

Patience pays off: I only buy when it's -70%! ๐Ÿข๐Ÿ’Ž

K
Feb 13, 2026 ยท 01:26

Waiting for the 38k floor: Why I'm not buying at 60k. ๐Ÿ“‰๐Ÿข

The history of the Bitcoin bear market shows a clear pattern: each correction becomes about 7% "softer".

โ€ข 2011: -93%

โ€ข 2015: -86%

โ€ข 2018: -84%

โ€ข 2022: -77%

If this trend continues, we can expect a minus of about 70% from the top ($126k) in the current correction, which leads us directly to $38,000. While the masses panic or blindly buy at every small dip at $60k or $50k, I stick to the bare mathematics.

History doesn't repeat itself perfectly, but it rhymes. Are you team "Buy now" or do you have the patience to wait for the real bottom? ๐Ÿ‘‡