Posts  / #POST-218579
REDDIT

Smartest regard to do it?

Had to retry the post because somehow the auto mods thought I was promoting some shitty penny stock

Much like many of you, I like to make money. Unlike many of you, I dont like the idea of full porting my kids chicken nugget budget into 0dte options. So I set out to do what every wall street gambler hopes to do and predict the markets (with a reasonable margin of error, duh). I will say that I am NOT a programmer, I am NOT some sort of hot shot math whiz, and I am certainly NOT FUCKING SMART. So i have no idea how to predict the markets but I know there has to be some way to help. I have some basic concepts of how things can tie to each other in correlation but no real idea of the "how" they do.

So i did what we all would, I got high as eagle pussy on mushrooms with a calculator in one hand, a pen in the other, and my meat in the other after that (i did mention im not great at math). After a few hours and some ideas dotted down I started to enter the data from the last few months and started to figure out the calculations needed to produce desired outcomes based only on the opening price of SPX and the opening price of VIX. What came out was something of pure regarded goodness. Basically what I wanted to do was find a "buy" and a "sell" number to just blindly place orders that have a good chance of hitting during the day. Thats what the column V and column Y are in my first picture. The green bars mean that number hit during the day at some point, red means it didnt. Double green means that both numbers hit during the day and my system "worked" that day without any sort of analysis or watching out for old orange guy tweets. After back testing the calculations for a few months of data, I found that my system would hit at a current rate of 72.4%. ***chimp noises intensify***

Now im fucking jacked, holy shit ive cracked the code to wall street bois. I load up my futures trading app with money and this Monday I go live with real money behind it. Well, this week was a fucking terrible week for that as I lost 3/5 days and now I need more money in my account because apparently a 40% win rate doesnt make you much money. You need at least $50 to trade one MES contract so now im on hold for another week while my deposit clears again...

Tldr: I wrote my own predictor for SPX and it worked so well I lost all the money I had in my account within the first 5 days of using it.