Abercrombie & Fitch (ANF) is a gold mine right now. I'll try to keep this brief, because we're all lazy.
\[Post writing update: It was not short. TLDR; ANF good. why down? idk? Me bought \~60k $ worth. Me likey ANF growth. Me likey money.\]
\[Edit: I'm more than happy with ANF hitting 120 or even 130, I think it could pull up to 140 though.\]
ANF has been fluctuating between the low 120s and high 140s for a while now, and I've essentially been scalping this.
https://preview.redd.it/vuhl7ycifvje1.png?width=726&format=png&auto=webp&s=0db4a79a7491955d27a01eaaca50b85448eb3aed
This is only a sample of what I've been doing so far
https://preview.redd.it/612ffxwrfvje1.png?width=1438&format=png&auto=webp&s=3045d5194a861f21bb48093ad2669c8da9dfc94b
Personally, I see no real reason why this stock isnt moving higher up right now. 112 is really low, and it should be mid 130s.
Here is a comparison with it's peers
https://preview.redd.it/cbp3ui63gvje1.png?width=697&format=png&auto=webp&s=a56d80903b6b7faa86167beed8bc4c88f37075b9
https://preview.redd.it/d7s1ap87gvje1.png?width=1223&format=png&auto=webp&s=5651c15384be07f06cd0e308aa6c589d61a9b969
It's the only one that has been down. For why? No idea.
Its revenue growth is almost 20% YOY, a LOT higher than the average across the industry
https://preview.redd.it/6f11d9zbgvje1.png?width=1221&format=png&auto=webp&s=4c9d4f3dee62cbe0bac4c71f6cbb7ae6909d2dfd
Okay sure it has good revenue, but what about it's profits? how much does it earn?
64% profit margins? Come on those are lovely numbers
https://preview.redd.it/szv69vmfgvje1.png?width=1210&format=png&auto=webp&s=6809ff713718c55c36d3fcdd3765119e69dad718
Sure, but let's talk about the downside.
I'm not a fan of how 98% of the shares are owned by outsiders. Insiders having low holdings is a bad sign
https://preview.redd.it/orberfingvje1.png?width=1214&format=png&auto=webp&s=306921fadf79a59cada9047c5119428a17d18a22
But also, the insiders, CEO, seems a lil old fashioned, I mean, no social media in 2025? Come on.
https://preview.redd.it/swbj0idzgvje1.png?width=1194&format=png&auto=webp&s=4a1bbbe4522f1dbd27988e267710e0e2654ccc0f
Okay what about other risk metrics
https://preview.redd.it/a6f9oxw1hvje1.png?width=1196&format=png&auto=webp&s=b7fb15c755c0be5e5bdb13a2aa015c837ce85abc
Altman Z Score is what I like. It means nothing here as it's the score given to "likeliness to go bankrupt", which none of these companies will. But, I still like the fact that it has better strength than the other companies, especially in comparison to GAP.
https://preview.redd.it/37svh60bhvje1.png?width=671&format=png&auto=webp&s=5c7e37e8a074a07217ff482ef41301c26ab170a0
So, why is it down? I have no idea. My assumption is that, with all the tariff news, people think that clothing products in general will have lower sales as its a luxury. But, Eh, Abercrombie people like to buy Abercrombie, even if it means they gotta use money budgeted for rent, right? It has quite a few UP revisions for EPS reports, and I dont know when the 1 DOWN revision came about, but I assume it's the recent news saying that "they expect lower growth", aka instead of 20, maybe like 12? still better than the others?
https://preview.redd.it/j19uxisqhvje1.png?width=1197&format=png&auto=webp&s=c88944a3a8b719e2f77cc0f8d2c42647a732c480
Quick overview of their financials, Profit of 3 BILLION ttm, and 20% growth. That's banger numbers not gonna lie
https://preview.redd.it/uih0o3h0ivje1.png?width=1207&format=png&auto=webp&s=b4bfffc31459de17e5085567ee73b79d73196856
And you know what, ANF is trading at a **PE of 11.6.** Warren Buffet said <15 is good, me likey.
I also do like that their book value is getting better (Essentially they are paying off their debts?)
https://preview.redd.it/s8olnzlxivje1.png?width=732&format=png&auto=webp&s=ea630fe6ff9350d1ba6e02624c88a25f20ba4b22
I also do like the dumb logic that, companies these days have been running up days PRIOR to the earnings, such as this
https://preview.redd.it/okle8iuajvje1.png?width=366&format=png&auto=webp&s=09dd0115965b1403e6fd439ac52918f9f6d19dd2
Hence, I'm already in.
My positions
58k ish in Stocks
https://preview.redd.it/a0egea9ijvje1.png?width=1442&format=png&auto=webp&s=75c7a3ea0bb55f6e806994ed0e636bbf38412d96
2ishk in Options (i'm not relying on this, this essentially throwaway money. In fact, my expiration is before earnings, Earnings is on March 5)
https://preview.redd.it/7yuor98sjvje1.png?width=1419&format=png&auto=webp&s=fe676b29ead5635a94242891c5575676fbe92a54
But those options could print yk.
DISCLAIMER: THIS AINT FINANCIAL ADVICE, INVEST (gamble) AT YOUR OWN RISK. This better print, I already got enough haters on this.
(ANF, if this prints, I'll buy \~500$ worth from your stores, thanks <3 )