Considering these scenarios
1. **Covid like recovery** \- some countries negotiate a deal and T lowers rates. Eventually we have only 10% tariff
2. **2022 style recovery** \- short term drops but recession never comes. So market starts recovering
3. **2008 style collapse** \- high tariffs are added. T doesnt budge. People reduce buying, companies start layoffs, full on recession begins. But by midterms tariffs are rolled back/ironed out and things start getting better
4. **1929 style** \- !!!
I am hoping its more of 2. T is a very very lucky guy that even the stupid things he does comes to help him (the inflation he caused is what helped him win again, losing 2nd time helped him throw away the court cases when he won again etc.) Given his lifetime luck record, will he get a free pass with tariffs this time?