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These are the stocks on my watchlist (02/12)

W
Feb 13, 2025 · 02:28

This is a daily watchlist for short-term trading: I might trade all/none of the stocks listed, and even stocks not listed! I am targeting potentially good candidates for short-term trading; I have no opinion on them as investments. The potential of the stock moving today is what makes it interesting, everything else is secondary.

News: [Google Ceo Sees Useful Quantum Computers 5 To 10 Years Away](https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-02-12/google-ceo-sees-useful-quantum-computers-5-to-10-years-away)

**Ticker:** [**SPY**](https://finviz.com/quote.ashx?t=SPY&p=d)**,** [**QQQ**](https://finviz.com/quote.ashx?t=QQQ&p=d)**,** [**VXX**](https://finviz.com/quote.ashx?t=VXX&p=d)**, UPRO and other market ETFs**

**Technicals:** Interested if we'll see another new low in the markets (breaking the market low the post-CPI report established).

**Catalyst:** CPI report of inflation gauges come in far higher than estimates, fed cuts seen less likely in first half of 2025, which resulted in a selloff for the entire market premarket. Inflation's back on the menu boys.

**Risks:** We'll likely see more volatility at the open obviously, and see more selloffs in the speculative/hype sectors, but I'm mainly focused on broader market movements and managing the PLTR short I mentioned yesterday.

**Ticker:** [**SMCI (Super Micro Computer, Inc.)**](https://finviz.com/quote.ashx?t=SMCI&p=d)

**Catalyst:** Super Micro Computer missed expectations and reduced its sales outlook for FY 2025, now projecting revenue between $23.5-$25B, down from the previous estimate of $26B- $30B.

The company also announced plans to submit delayed filings to the SEC by February 25 to avoid delisting.

**Technicals:** Ultimately a miss on earnings, but the news of submitting filings to the SEC was what made the stock recover afterhours yesterday. Not too interested in this until we get a news update on the filings that will determine if this is not as shady as Hindenburg makes it out to seem.

**Catalyst/Sector Context:** The semis sector is somewhat stressed due to the possible tariffs on semis coming in that Trump threatened. SMCI revising downward is clearly bad, while they expect growth in 2026 due to future growth from AI infrastructure demand.

Obviously if they fail to submit a delayed filing then that would be a brutal blow for the stock.

**Risks:** Most of them are detailed in Hindenburg's report (Link here: [Hindenburg Report](https://hindenburgresearch.com/smci/))

**Ticker:** [**RDFN (Redfin Corporation)**](https://finviz.com/quote.ashx?t=RDFN&p=d)

**Catalyst:** Zillow and RDFN announced a partnership making Zillow (ZG) the exclusive provider of multifamily rental listings (properties with 25+ units) on RDN and its sites.

**Technicals:** None to speak of, but partnering means their revenue is tied a little closer together, meaning they will trade together/greater correlation.

**Catalyst/Sector Context:** The real estate sector is increasingly focusing on user experiences through partnerships, rather than trying to expand outward- this allows them to charge a premium vs value.

This collaboration aims to provide renters with a more comprehensive search platform while expanding the reach for property marketers (ultimately an advertising play/commissions play for RDFN).

**Risks:** Probably regulatory issues, but likely won't be facing those in this admin.

**Ticker:** [**SWTX (SpringWorks Therapeutics, Inc.)**](https://finviz.com/quote.ashx?t=SWTX&p=d)

**Catalyst:** SWTX received FDA approval for GOMEKLI (mirdametinib) for the treatment of patients with neurofibromatosis type 1-associated plexiform neurofibromas (NF1-PN). TAM is roughly $1B yearly.

**Technicals:** $55 is the level.

**Catalyst/Sector Context:** Having "the" drug for treatment pretty much turns a nothing biotech stock into a somebody (which later leads to them getting acquired by a giant like MRK).

**Risks:** MRK calls deal off, which is the reason for the massive moves in the past 2 days and we see a reversal of that news.

**Earnings:** [**HOOD**](https://finviz.com/quote.ashx?t=HOOD&p=d), [**CSCO**](https://finviz.com/quote.ashx?t=CSCO&p=d), [**EQIX**](https://finviz.com/quote.ashx?t=EQIX&p=d), [**APP**](https://finviz.com/quote.ashx?t=APP&p=d), [**TTD**](https://finviz.com/quote.ashx?t=TTD&p=d)