Posts
Calculating META's Stock-Based Compensation
# Let's talk about using two methods to calculate the cost of Stock-Based Compensation. We will referance pages 92 & 93 of the [META 2025 10k](https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1326801/000162828026003942/meta-20251231.htm). Start with $115,800 Operating Cashflow. Then deduct 69,691 for PP&E, and another 2,524 for Principal Payments on Finance Lease. That leaves us with 43,585 …
A short story into how I developed a "quality at good value" score to stocks
About a year ago I came across a content creator I came to really appreciate. It was just about the time that I was starting to become slightly suspicious of investing purely in passive index funds, (see my [thoughts](https://www.reddit.com/r/ETFs/comments/1utksxh/thoughts_on_the_grossmanstiglitz_paradox/)) and wanted to test some more strategies. He introduced a methodology …
Every few weeks another open model claims frontier level results on a fraction of the compute. At what point is that a real dent in the Nvidia capex thesis, and not just single benchmark cope? Change my mind.
I keep trying to stress test my own long thesis on the AI capex names and I cannot decide if I am watching a moat crack or just reading marketing. The pattern is hard to ignore now. In January 2025 DeepSeek reported training a frontier model for a fraction of …
META's AI buildout is not another Metaverse.
Meta is being discounted due to: 1. Aggresive CapEx relative to revenue 2. History of poor capital allocation with Metaverse I would like to point out that it is silly to compare the previous Metaverse investment with the AI buildout investment. Metaverse was essentially a new unknown world/market that Meta, …
The Most Important Part of a DCF Is Not the DCF
When I first learned how to build a discounted cash flow model, I thought the difficult part would be the math and building the model. I was overwhelmed making sure the model was perfect and ensuring the math was right, and I had the right colors and presentation correct. But …
Imperial Brands (IMB LN) - Short-Term "Value" Trade?
**Imperial Brands shares are down 18% from their peak and 7% from a year ago.** We have been cautious on IMB since initiating a Neutral rating in July 2019, instead preferring Philip Morris (“PM”), where we initiated a Buy rating slightly earlier in June 2019. At present, IMB is far …
Clarivate plc
Clarivate sells sticky data and analytics software to academias, governments, corporations, law firms and pharmaceutical companies. The business reports three main segments, Academia & Government, Intellectual Property and Life Sciences & Healthcare. Academia & Government (A&G), with the flagship product Web of Science (WoS), is essentially Google for academia, takes …
What’s your biggest regret in the investing world?
For me personally, selling Meta too early since my avg was $90 share back in 2022. Sold AMD for AMC (Lmao). Brought penny stocks all went to zero. Started investing at 26 as no one in the family knows anything about stock market. Current condition:- holding software stocks very heavily …
Best Regional Bank Stocks
Hi all, I have adressed this topic earlier but given the insane valuations the topic should be revisited in this sub imo. Regional Bank stocks have insane EPS growth, attractive P/E ratios and interesting dividend yields/buybacks. Has anyone looked in to some worthy investments in this sector? What are some …
What do you do when you can’t find any good deals?
For example you fucked up and sold your index funds and now everything is higher than before including individual stocks. Do you buy back in or wait it out?