Posts
Would Investing still be viable after Currency Digital Tokenisation?
So i know the EU through the European Central Bank and EU Institutions are developing a digital euro, I am wondering would Investing or Trading still be viable for me to get into? or would it be like a roadblock (I dont know much besides a little on how markets …
$AMZN pullback and probabilistic outlook. Are we bottoming near $200?
Hey everyone. I have been watching $AMZN closely and the recent move looks interesting from a probability and options perspective. Over the past two weeks, AMZN dropped about 18% from around $243 to $199 and has since been stabilizing near $200. Based on current implied distributions: 📊 More than 50% …
Stock based expense, how to think about them especially after a sell off.
How do you guys account for this when looking at income and cash flow statements? I’m bullish on peloton after the recent sell off but much of their favorable adjusted EBITDA is because of stock based comp. Is the strike price on these normally around existing stock prices ? Said …
The Fearless Forecast for February 18, 2026 for DJIA
# The Fearless Forecast for February 18, 2026 for DJIA is: *(SU = Small Up; LU = Large Up; SD = Small Down; LD = Large Down)* * **Bucket:** Up Streak (<3) * **Volatility score:** ≈ **1.35** (elevated) * **Probabilities:** SU ≈ **30%** LU ≈ **12%** SD ≈ **34%** LD …
3 simple ways to realize capital gains
# The 3 simple ways to realize capital gains When is it time to sell? We tend to focus on when to buy, time the market, or cost-averaging our best stock, but somehow we neglect to time the exit of our stocks. Here are 3 simple ways that should make …
The data exists, the evidence is filed, but the access is obstructed."
The "Lighthouse Program" was supposed to be a beacon for our most vulnerable children. Instead, the data we are unearthing paints a far darker picture of trauma and administrative failure. I have officially filed a Memorandum of Evidence with the Massachusetts Supervisor of Records to force transparency on what really …
The global market portfolio is now roughly 12% gold and 1% digital assets. Full report from WisdomTree linked in post. Their headline is "Not Having Any Exposure to Gold or Crypto is an Active Underweight"
Was hoping to post the image here on page 53: [https://www.wisdomtree.com/-/media/us-media-files/documents/resource-library/presentations/cio\_market\_outlook.pdf](https://www.wisdomtree.com/-/media/us-media-files/documents/resource-library/presentations/cio_market_outlook.pdf) Global market portfolio weights: * 52.2% stocks * 31.8% bonds * 2.3% alts * 0.4% broad commodities * 12.1% gold * 1.2% digital assets
Anyone here ever start an investment club with coworkers? How’d it actually go?
A few coworkers and I have been talking about starting a small investment club and I'm curious how this usually plays out in real life. The rough idea is. We each put in a set amount every month (thinking around $250 each), invest it into a brokerage account, probably index …
What is happening with stocks that reverse split frequently?
MULN had multiple reverse splits that were only months apart. SMX has multiple reverse splits that are only months apart. I am really confused about what is happening with these commodities and would venture that it would be a fairly easy way to launder large sums of cash that appear …
Where I stand today with 11 yrs to go
Age 49 single Retire 60 Salary $100,000 I invest 15% into employer 401k plan (6% traditional 401k and 9% Roth 401k) Employer 401k $575,000\_ (traditional 401k $490,000, Roth 401k $85,000) Roth IRA $23,500 fully maxed for 2026 Brokerage $6,800 (on hold until emergency fund goes back to $25k) Emergency fund …