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Netflix earnings beat by $0.01, revenue fell short of estimates
Here are the numbers EPS: $0.80 vs. $0.79 Expected Revenue: $12.56B vs. $12.58B Expected * Netflix forecast third-quarter revenue of $12.86 billion and diluted EPS of 82 cents * Company will reduce viewing hours disclosure * Second-quarter results roughly in line with forecasts Disclosure I own Netflix I think the …
PYPL - Stock analysis July 16
Florida homeowners insurer HCI Group: 18% true FCF yield, $4B reinsurance program, legally mandated customer pipeline from Citizens Insurance. I also pulled 15 years of data instead of just the good 3. The honest normalized yield is closer to 12%. Here's why I still own it.
The easy version of this story: HCI Group is a Tampa-based Florida homeowners insurer trading at 8x P/E, 18% true FCF yield, with a CEO who's been buying its newly IPO'd tech subsidiary Exzeo in the open market every two weeks through a real price decline. Zero insider sells in …
HCI Group deep dive: normalized FCF yield after reserve release adjustment, statutory subsidiary dividend caps, Citizens 20% depopulation mechanics, and two-storm empirical loss history. Looking for pushback on the reinsurance structure and the tort reform durability thesis.
The two analytical questions I'd most welcome pushback on from this community: First: how durable is the 2022-2023 Florida tort reform improvement? The loss ratio improvement from 55% to 29% is partly structural and partly a reserve release tailwind. My rough math strips about 6 points off the headline 18% …
Fundamental DD: The raw numbers on QYOU Media ($QYOU.V / $QYOUF) — $32M Revenue, 46.7M Float, and Q3 Catalysts.
I’m sharing this because the data is sitting right out in the open, but the trading volume has gone completely quiet. No hype, just the fundamental setup on QYOU Media (TSXV: $QYOU / OTC:$QYOUF) based on their latest mid-June filings. Here is what the actual numbers show: The Float and …
Verizon Looks Pretty Attractive Here (Valuation)
[Here's the full post if you don't just want to read text.](https://riskpremiumresearch.substack.com/p/verizon-valuation) # Thesis I feel like some of these telecom names are starting to get too cheap to ignore. They have incredibly stable businesses and actually pretty decent margins. I liken them to Buffett's railroad bet in the 2010s …
Anyone else in or looking at Jack In The Box
So I didn't realize what this stock was going through until about 2 weeks ago. After doing some research, it definitely has a massive short squeeze written all over it. At the least, it's new leadership and restructuring and consensus is that there is plenty room to grow. With 5 …