After 36 years in the market, a few things became very clear to me…
1. The market leaves clues before it moves
Not headlines and not earnings.
Sectors start shifting, volume starts building, correlations change..
By the time there’s a “reason,” the move is already underway.
2. News is lagging
I used to think news caused price moves.
In fact it tries to explains what already happened.
3. Patterns repeat more than people think
Not perfectly, but enough that if you track them over time, they stop looking random.
4. Most are reacting, not 'pre' observing
5. The biggest moves always feel uncomfortable early