I’ve very into investments and economics as I work within mutual funds and fixed income funds. I have been seeing a recession coming within the economy for about 6 months now. Surprised it took so long honestly. Trump has taken up with an inflated stock market, inverted yields, terrible interest rates and a slowing economy. Weirdly enough the job market stayed consistent so the market kept going.
I see trump crashing the stock market as a push for demand of treasury bonds. A higher price on bonds pushes for lower interest rates on bonds which tend to push borrowing costs down for the government and companies. This usually happens when the market goes down as well. I’m very long duration and gold tbh.
This could move towards stag flation where prices keep going up but demand stays low and interest rates stay the same. We’ll see.
Stay safe out there let me know what you think about what I’ve said