Posts
Netflix: From growth darling to value pay?
I spent the last few months going through Netflix and after the recent sell-off I think the stock has become interesting again. For sure not screamingly cheap but surely a very good business where expectations have finally come down. NFLX is around $74 right now and aboit 45% below its …
Celebrus Technologies continues aggressive buyback before Q&A on the 13th August
Huge news dropping. Look at the insider activity. All of below has happened since the company announced three new deals, with no information given to how important these deals are for the company. 75k shares announced today repurchased on top of Fridays announcement of 52k shares, in addition to the …
SaaS is a terminal patient, AI agents are the cancer
I think the current rebound of SaaS is just a short resuscitation rather than coming back to live. AI is a cancer to SaaS, CPR won't help revive it rather just a short resuscitation. Big software companies show good numbers because there is a chemotherapy in the name of "AI …
NICE grew AI revenue 52% and trades at 11x cash flow, ~49% below my estimate of intrinsic value
NICE (NICE) reported a beat in early August and the stock dropped 7%. AI ARR is up 52% to $362M, backlog is growing 72%, and management is buying back stock aggressively. The market still prices the whole thing at around 11x cash flow. I think that's wrong, and here's the …
How are you calculating depreciation of AI capex /data centre assets ?
I am fairly new to investing (3–4 years). Most of my portfolio has consisted of semiconductor and Mag7 stocks, but recently, I have started to scrutinize the balance sheets of these companies. One company that caught my attention is Meta. The business model is shifting from an asset light software …
Weekly Stock Ideas Megathread: Week of August 10, 2026
What stocks are on your radar this week? What's undervalued? What's overvalued? This is the place for your quick stock pitches or to ask what everyone else is looking at. *This discussion post is lightly moderated. We suggest checking other users' posting/commenting history before following advice or stock recommendations.* *New …
18 Investment write-ups to look at
Fresh batch of company write-ups from Substack authors, all published within the last week. Not my work - sourced from Giles Capital's weekly compilation: [https://gilescapital.substack.com/](https://gilescapital.substack.com/) # Americas **Long Term Pick** on [**Microsoft Corporation**](https://longtermpick.com/p/microsoft-analysis-2026) (🇺🇸 MSFT US - US$3.4tn) Azure crossed $100B in annual revenue this quarter, growing 43%, with $678B …
My scanner ranks 1,896 US stocks and paper-trades its own picks in public. Current top 10 undervalued (Aug 09)
I built a scanner that scores about 1,896 US-listed companies to find undervalued opportunities. This week, my checks filtered out 22 names with untrustworthy numbers. I have compiled my current top-10 list, my methodology, and my track record of open and closed positions. |\#|Ticker|Company|Price|Upside to fair value|Off 52-wk high| |:-|:-|:-|:-|:-|:-| …
DCF Nitpicking, My Beef With Terminal Growth Rates
I have been doing research for a potential youtube video on DCFs. And while doing a deep dive into DCF math and logic I came back to a common belief that intuitively felt wrong to me and now I am much more confident is wrong. Limiting terminal growth rate to …