Posts
MSFT to the moon
This is just my view. MSFT software segment is locked in. The thing to look out for whether multiple expands and earnings increase relies on 2 metrics in the longer term, Model pricing and Enterprise AI usage adoption. Ofcourse there are other factors such as Open AI, Azure growth, free …
META at aprox 18x forward earnings with 33% growth. is it value play or capex trap?
I have been considering re-entering META after this pullback again and so I wanted to lay out the numbers, what I could find, and see what everyone thinks. I held meta years ago and sold most before the 2022 pulldown. **The setup** Stock is down around 18% YTD and about …
SAAS apocalypse
Guys I have tried searching, asking AI and try to do research but seems like I can’t get an answer. Why SAAS is being hated by investor at the moment? I want to get some perspective. The answer I get is AI will replace these roles. Another answer I get …
NBCU spin off unlikely to be acquired by any major streamer
Since news of the spin off released yesterday, the media has been speculating that the industry will go through another period of consolidation. But looking at it on a case by case basis, I find it unlikely that another streamer will try to acquire the NBCU spin off. Paramount is …
I tried explaining valuation with a lemonade stand
I wrote a simple explanation of valuation using a lemonade stand. That's all. Just a small text that might be useful for beginners. Most of my articles focus on advanced concepts, and I often forget about the people who need these ideas most: the beginners. The ones just starting out. …
Why Adobe's AI business is better than you think
I thought this sub didn't have enough content about ADBE so I ought to add more. Put very simply, Adobe is trading at low multiples over fears that it will lose market share to AI image generation tools. (The more complicated version involves private credit loans and forced sell offs). …
The moat of Netflix?
Netflix has around 325 million subscribers worldwide, and I'm one of them. I really enjoy the content on Netflix, but it got me thinking: what's the maximum monthly price I'd be willing to pay before I cancel? For me, it's probably somewhere around €30 per month, and with recent price …
Moat of the NOW, SAP, VEEV.
I don't know why people hyping Servicenow so much over ledger systems like SAP and Veev. Is it orchestrated or just a following ship? I know NOW handles and tracks whole internal operations of the company over digital blueprint but SAP has valuable and vast data even small error in …
Having trouble determining when to sell
So I'm sure a lot of us have experienced some dramatic run ups in the past few years. One of mine is Corning (GLW) I bought it yearssss ago when it wasn't cool with an average cost of $35. Now my issue isn't the waiting when I understand a company …
Why $TOYO may be a deep-value play trading at an absurd 3x Forward P/E
TOYO Co., Ltd (Ticker: TOYO) looks like a mispriced growth stock that swung to profitability but got slaughtered by retail panic selling. I’m considering opening a position and would love to get this subs opinion on this one. TOYO is a fast-growing \~$300 million market cap green energy company that …