Posts
Repost: For the ‘this industry will change the world’ crowd
The key to investing is not assessing how much an industry is going to affect society, or how much it will grow, but rather determining the competitive advantage of any given company and, above all, the durability of that advantage. — Warren Buffet, Fortune, 1999 It’s a repost from few …
CMC Markets (CMCX.L): a 245% rally is pricing a single-year EBITDA doubling that the cash flow statement has not yet validated
CMC Markets traded at 203p on 10 November 2025. As of the valuation date it sits at 700p, an all-time high, after a 56% one-week surge triggered by a guidance upgrade on 1 July. What was a cyclical retail CFD and spread-betting broker is now being priced as a B2B …
We are having the same conversation today
Interesting post from two years ago talking about AI / tech bubble. And here we are discussing nearly the same thing today. https://www.reddit.com/r/ValueInvesting/s/OvABIBS5Ju I like the bull rational by some comments.
Value Investing is suppose to be low risk medium reward, but do you have a high risk high reward value play?
Namely, The "Cigar Butt" that require a turn around to be good again
Microsoft might not be the value play everyone keeps calling
for disclosure, Microsoft is my largest single stock position, and I have been buying into it, much like many, because it is a staple name that is deeply embedded in so many industries within tech and software, and seems to be priced inconsitently with its value. However recently my view …
Rdy - small cap on ASX
Some of you may have heard that topicus made a bid for this ‘management software’ australian small cap. They offered 1.75 for 51% or 2 for 100%. The board rejected it for now. That’s the thesis basically. If you have access to buy it, which most people won’t. The p/s …
Questioning the 'cash is trash' mindset as a 25 year old value investor
I'm 25 and have been diving deep into value investing over the past year or so. One thing I'm struggling to fully understand is the role of cash in a personal portfolio vs its role in a value framework. I'm torn on the 'cash is optionality' rule. I want to …
Russia Vs Poland
Anyone eyeing European war stocks in case Russia do invade Poland or the Baltic states?? Feels bad to profit of this but there’s got to be some money to be made??
The Meta version of my Microsoft capex breakdown
Earlier this week, I posted a breakdown here revisiting [Microsoft's](https://www.reddit.com/r/ValueInvesting/comments/1uio0by/six_months_ago_we_called_microsoft_overvalued_at/) valuation in light of its AI capex. Here's the same analysis on Meta. I won't repeat the methodology, it's all in the Microsoft post. Just the Meta setup and results. **Capex** Meta's capital spending is the heaviest of any hyperscaler. …
Brightstar Lottery Continues $500 Million Buyback with June Treasury Share Purchases
Brightstar shares are down from $18 a share to $11. The reason for the drop was cashflow concerns due to the massive Italian lotto license fee of over €1bn. Since then the company have had the most favourable start to a quarter in their history and have announced two separate …