Posts
How to Value Stocks Fast?
I'm not super new to the valuation model space but I can't say I'm proficient. I'm trying to value a couple of biotech names but I honestly don't have time. Is there anyway I could do it super fast? Any software maybe that can do it on the fly? I …
Just started investing thoughts
Just started investing put in $1000 ish. Planning to hold for a couple years maybe 3-4. CREW (Coreweave) $181 ( avg buy $89) NBIS (Nebius) $250 ( avg buy $238) VST (Vistra) $500 (avg buy $140) Give us your thoughts. I have another $150 to use. Preciate it
Is 5% the Top for the 10 Year Treasury?
The 10-year just closed September near 5.2%, the highest since 2007. Are we close to the top?
Buy Xiaomi, 2 years from now
Dictated my thoughts to AI. TLDR: Xiaomi will continue to decline. But two years from now, might be a great buy. The Decline of Xiaomi I'm getting more excited about Xiaomi as an investment precisely because I think the next 2-3 years could be ugly. Xiaomi is trying to be …
AI doesn’t need to replace software to weaken the moat
A point from René Sellmann made me think a bit differently about software moats. I used to put quite a lot of weight on being the “system of record”. I still think it matters, but maybe not as much as I thought. AI doesn’t actually need to replace Adobe, Intuit, …
Applovin: Value Trap?
Ever since Applovin's Q2 earnings they have fell over 35% even though their revenue and net profit both climbed over 50% growth. I'm down over 20% on my position simply because I bought before earnings and I bought before earnings because I thought they would crush it but then I …
Conagra's operating cash flow went negative last quarter. I walked the 10-Q line by line to see how bad that is.
Two weeks ago I posted a walk through Conagra's FY26 10-K and asked what the Q1 print would say about whether last year's cash was the floor. I also missed that they had already halved the dividend, which someone here caught. Q1 came out Wednesday, so this is the follow-up, …
The $TWTR Case: What Happened and What Investors Can Do
Hey everyone, I wanted to share an update for anyone who invested in $TWTR around the time of Elon Musk’s acquisition. Back in 2022, Musk agreed to buy Twitter for $44 billion. After the deal was announced, he started raising concerns about the number of fake and spam accounts on …
Soxx only down 9% from peak
The last 4 months, analysts been saying how soxx is crashing and it’s over for semis. Well they’re brain dead cause now it’s only 9% down from its absolute peak. Semis never died, algos just scared retail cause of the Iran war which is also paused until after midterms. So …
$300 million agreed upfront for a drug with no disclosed human data, in a deal announced at up to $2.6 billion
Up to $2.6 billion is the headline, and $300 million is the upfront. That is the deal Novo Nordisk and Jiangsu Hengrui Pharmaceuticals announced on Sept. 29, with Novo getting exclusive rights to HRS-1596 outside Greater China. I broke down the gap: roughly $2.3 billion is what remains after the …