SK Hynix corrected 34% so far this week. Falling from ₩2,919,000 to ₩1,913,000 between June 22 and July 14. The crash narrative floating around blames long-term contract fears. I could not verify the source of that read. Does anyone have …
[Here's a link to the full study](https://riskpremiumresearch.substack.com/p/forecasting-dilution) I've noticed that companies will announce a dilution and, almost always, the stock will immediately tank. I got curious and dug through the data of 10,000+ dilution events since 2016 and over 3,000 …
noticed something weird on TPL and wanted to see if anyone else has flagged it. Horizon Kinetics has been buying one share of TPL almost every trading day for the last month. not one thousand, not a hundred. one share. …
Three days ago SK Hynix priced its ADR at $149 in New York and raised $26.5 billion. In the largest foreign listing in US history. First day it closed up 13% at $168.49. Today Seoul dropped it another 15.4%. Kospi …
The bear case that I think has the most analytical teeth isn't the Chegg comparison or the executive churn. It's this: organic ARR growth has decelerated for ten consecutive quarters, from 10.9% to 10.5%. That's a sustained directional trend that …
On 3rd July, I published a detailed write‑up on Substack explaining why the **Victoria PLC 2028 bonds**, trading at **\~20 cents**, offered one of the most asymmetric opportunities in UK credit for investors willing to engage with a complex situation. …