Allow me to explain why this UNH dip is the dumbest shit ever and calls is the way.
**Position TLDR:** Not Financial advice. Positions are 5/5 Vertical Jan 3 545/550 P (Currently ITM) and 10 calls Jan 17th 600/610 C (Yes, I'm revenge trading.) I also hold the underlying shares. Image provided, unlike the people on this Reddit, and to prove the trading is live. (Also took forever to get this post made auto mod/Reddit has really gotten harsh on what they allow)
**Real TLDR:** UNH dropped to $480 due to CEO Brian Thompson's meme death. Fundamentals are solid, the dip is an overreaction, and $550+ is realistic.
https://preview.redd.it/q513l7ag7h7e1.png?width=1313&format=png&auto=webp&s=85e572f517a931c603ef93c397e519f55817339b
* **Strong Financials:** UNH has $25B in annual cash flow, enabling consistent reinvestment, share buybacks, and dividends. They have more capital than they know what to do with.
* **EPS Guidance:** Earnings per share guidance remains solid. With an aging and increasingly unhealthy population, demand for healthcare will rise in the short, medium, and long term. Medicare Advantage reimbursement policies remain steady, and most political chatter on the topic lacks actionable impact.
* **Leadership Team:** Andrew Hayek (CEO of OptumHealth) and Dirk McMahon (President of UNH) are seasoned industry leaders. They’ve streamlined processes to maximize profitability (not a moral statement, just a financial one).
* **Market Position:** UNH remains the largest insurance provider in the U.S., with Optum leading in analytics and service. Their position is set to grow further with potential deregulation during the next political cycle.
* **Valuation:** The current price-to-earnings ratio is 18x forward earnings, below the historical average of 22x. Institutional investors have held steady despite recent events, short interest is at its lowest since the “incident,” and dividends remain in safe territory.
* **Fair Market Value:** Discounted cash flow models and reports show a fair market value of $715. Using a 22x forward EPS (historical average), $550 in the short term is reasonable, with $570+ achievable if EPS beats to $26 (earnings on 01/10/2025).
**Final TLDR:** Stock is only down because some dumbass forgot to hire security and got blasted by some silver-spooned mafia-linked Italian that happens to be moderately attractive.
**Possible Risk:** Trump actually fucks with the healthcare industry (Unlikely), Market eats shit in 2025 (Somewhat likely), UNH somehow managers to not hire a new CEO (Unlikely just move Andrew Hayek)
Fact-check me, Roast me, call me names, say I'm coping, etc. I don't care. The stock is undervalued by 200-300$ and has no reason to be this low absolute value play and if I had more cash to burn i'd be buying UNH like white on rice..