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REDDIT

Why the SaaS crash is a massive gift (The Peter Lynch Play)

SaaS giants like **INTU, ADBE, CRM, NOW and others** are down big. I’ve already started building positions in a few of these, and honestly, I’m happy to see the prices fall even further as long as the underlying numbers stay solid.
But the next 6 months are a huge opportunity for long-term investors. Here is why:

1. **The next 2 earnings will show the truth:** Everyone is panicking about AI. These next two earnings reports will finally show us the reality, whether AI is actually **disrupting** these companies and causing them to decline, or if it's **amplifying** their business while they continue beating estimates.
2. **The Peter Lynch Tax Dump:** Even if these companies smash earnings, expect their stock prices to drop even lower later this year. Peter Lynch always pointed out that in Q4, **both big hedge funds and individual investors** aggressively dump their losing stocks. They do this for "tax-loss harvesting" - selling their losers before the end of the year to offset the taxes they owe on their winning trades. When everyone rushes for the exit at the same time just for a tax write-off, it forces stock prices.

**The Bottom Line:** We are about to see if these fundamentals are actually intact. If the upcoming earnings show these businesses are not disrupted and are still beating estimates, but we *still* see a price crash in November-December because of tax-loss selling, it is an absolute gift to long-term investors