**I think there’s a pretty significant bounce candidate here.**
This one’s interesting because it genuinely has a couple of things most of my penny setups don’t have. There was **a real range expansion off the lows and now it’s trying to base** in the $2’s instead of freefalling back to the $1.70’s. It didn’t fully round-trip and on the higher timeframes looks like it could actually be **attempting a trend change.**
I’ll get into all that stuff and the technicals but first **here’s some information about the company: Float & OS: 5.05 M / 5.14 M ; Market Cap & Ev: 13.82 M / 12.07 M**
**Recent News:** This week they reported **positive FY 2025 earnings** and announced a **new Digital Health partnership.**
**About:** $IQST is basically a B2B telecom/distribution company. They deliver international voice, SMS, messaging, connectivity, and mobile financial services in 21 countries with 600+ carriers and have recently integrated and are monetizing adjacent services like AI, cybersecurity, and digital health.
**Specs:** The fundamental/news backdrop is pretty decent for a growth-phase company. IQST just filed its FY2025 10-K on April 6, and the release said the business is running at about **a $400 million revenue run rate,** that the **core businesses generate over $2.7 million in adjusted EBITDA,** and that the company has **no convertible notes and no warrants outstanding.**
**News:** They just announced (April 7) plans for **a digital health partnership**, with a planned product introduction at ITW 2026 on May 18–21.
**Also:** Just as a quick side note, this might not be a sector everyone is talking about right now, but **it’s critically important and currently undergoing a quiet squeeze that parallels the data center and energy squeezes.** **Connectivity is the backbone of AI**, and it has to be reliable, low-latency, and stable. The demand on the pipes is outpacing capacity and the companies that provide the foundations for telecom are going to **find themselves at the center of a gold rush.**
**But I’m a trader** and I don’t care about most of that. I just include it for GP. 😊
**On to the meat and potatoes.**
**Charts/Levels.TA:**
Overall, the charts read like a **first pullback after a regime-change breakout**. On the daily you can see it finally **decisively broke downtrend with a big volume expansion day.** Price is more or less holding the 9 & 20 EMA’s and got checked right arouns $2.12.
The hourly looks even more dramatic, with all this dynamic momentum pushing from around $1.48 over $2.60 then abruptly coming back to base around $2.00. **The pullback is a good thing here. It resets RSI and cools off MACD,** and the price still hovering above the 200 EMA infers that it’s setting up for a bounce.
The key thing on the 5 and 15 minutes is **it’s holding \~$2.00.** **There’s no question that a bounce setup is forming here.** The question is will it follow through, and I’m looking for a few triggers to give me that confirmation.
**I want to see it hold \~$2.00** obviously and I don’t want to see it any **lower than $1.89.**
**I won't be bothered to see it dip to $1.89-$1.90 this afternoon because I think it most likely will just drift until we get closer to close/AH.** I will add at or below mid-$1.90's.
**The first reclaim level is $2.23 to $2.26. Then $2.36 is key.** I strongly suspect there will be some static there and it will probably push back a few times. **But when it breaks $2.36 I think $2.57, $2.68, and the $2.81 retest come pretty quickly.** In fact a decisive $2.36 break could trigger a snapback up through a couple of levels.
Invalidation doesn’t technically confirm until $1.81, but **if it shows a sustained (3 candles) loss of $1.89 on heavy volume I’m going to start scaling.**
**I took a position this morning** because, all said, this is **setup is pretty bullish and the upside is attractive. When it breaks $2.23, my stance changes from optimistic to very interested. Above $2.36 I’m leaning in hard** and probably watching it slingshot up through the next level. My playbook would be **scale some profits at $2.57, $2.68 and $2.81.**
**If it breaks $2.81, $3.00 is both a magnet and psychological resistance.** Break there with momentum and it looks like **$2.81 break → $3.00 → $3.18 → $3.56**
After than it gets more speculative but I think historical supply to start slowing things down somewhere **in the low to mid $4.00’s.**
**Have a great weekend everyone.**
[](https://www.reddit.com/submit/?source_id=t3_1sht1yt&composer_entry=crosspost_prompt)