Everyone is panicking over the recent pullback, but the fundamentals don't seem to care.
At around €930/share, Rheinmetall is trading at what looks like a growth-stock valuation for a company whose earnings are projected to explode over the next two years.
**The numbers are wild:**
2025 EPS: \~€18.5
2026 EPS estimate: \~€28.5 (+54%)
2027 EPS estimate: \~€38.5 (+35%)
That's basically a doubling of earnings in just two fiscal years.
Yet despite that growth, RHM's PEG ratio sits around **0.5-0.6**, which is typically the territory investors dream about finding.
For comparison:
Most quality industrials trade PEGs above 1
Many AI names trade PEGs well above 2
Rheinmetall is growing earnings at roughly 40%+ annually while trading closer to a mature industrial than a hyper-growth company
**What is Wall Street missing?**
The market seems obsessed with short-term headlines and contract wins/losses.
Meanwhile:
Germany is rearming
NATO members are boosting defense budgets
Ammunition demand remains far above production capacity
Rheinmetall's backlog keeps expanding
Management is targeting \~€20 billion revenue by 2027
Revenue path:
€10B → €14B → €20B
And because defense manufacturing has massive operating leverage, every new production line coming online drops more profit to the bottom line.
The really interesting part?
The recent selloff happened while analysts are still forecasting earnings growth that most software companies would envy.
If EPS reaches \~€38.5 by 2027 and the market is willing to pay even 25x earnings, you're looking at a business worth materially more than today's price.
**The bear case:**
Defense spending slows
Ukraine conflict de-escalates faster than expected
Governments delay procurement programs
Current growth forecasts prove too optimistic
**The bull case:**
Europe has underinvested in defense for decades and is only in the early innings of rebuilding military capability.
If that's true, Rheinmetall isn't a wartime trade.
It's a decade-long rearmament story.
The question isn't whether Rheinmetall can grow.
The question is whether the market is massively underestimating how long this growth cycle lasts.
Am I missing something, or is this one of the most attractive PEG-adjusted opportunities in the European market right now?
Before push the down vote button and call ai slope, bring something that add value, thanks in advance