Market's pricing in a US-Iran deal nobody has actually signed. Holding into the weekend or trimming?

This is the Hola Prime team's account, a prop firm, posting openly. Not selling anything, just a discussion we wanted to open before the weekend.

Today's move is partly built on reports of a tentative US-Iran agreement on the Strait of Hormuz, oil softened, futures firmed, gold's still holding around $4,571. The catch is it isn't signed: no green light confirmed, nothing public from Tehran, still "language points" being worked out. So the tape is pricing in something that doesn't fully exist yet, heading into a weekend, one day after PCE printed its hottest reading in nearly three years.

The thing we notice across traders is that weekend-hold decisions expose risk philosophy more than almost any other call. Holding means betting the deal lands clean, or at least doesn't break before Monday. Going flat means giving up the gap if it does land. Neither is right, but people tend to be inconsistent about it, and that's usually where the damage comes from.

How do you actually think about it:

* Do you hold swings through binary weekend headlines, or flatten regardless of conviction?
* Do you treat "tentative" or "framework" news differently from confirmed news, or ignore the distinction?
* If the deal quietly falls apart Saturday, which market reprices first Monday — oil, gold, or the index?