Gold 1H: higher lows into a hard 4,580 ceiling. Which side breaks first?

Gold on the 1H is sitting around 4,493, stuck in a fairly clean range. Resistance up at 4,580 has rejected price multiple times, and there's a band of support around 4,448–4,480 underneath. The interesting part is the bottom right: the sharp flush down to 4,366 on the 28th, then a recovery that's been carving higher lows along a rising channel. So short term you've got a constructive bounce, but it's running straight into a ceiling that's held more than once.

That's the tension, higher lows (buyers stepping in) versus horizontal supply that keeps capping the move. Both can be true right up until one gives. And this whole 1H bounce is happening inside a bigger pullback on the monthly, which is worth keeping in frame rather than reading the intraday move in isolation.

How are you trading it:

* Do you treat the rising channel off 4,366 as a real base, or as a lower high until 4,500/4,580 actually breaks?
* On a range like this, are you fading the edges or waiting for the breakout and trading the retest?
* What would invalidate the bullish read for you, losing the channel, or losing 4,448?