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SpaceX $1.75 Trillion valuation means capturing 2.4% of total US GDP by 2035. Is this realistic to you?

M
Jun 8, 2026 · 13:34

[](https://www.reddit.com/r/StockMarket/?f=flair_name%3A%22Discussion%22)Rumors of a June 12 Nasdaq listing for SpaceX at a $1.75 trillion valuation are heating up, so i've been looking at the math behind that number and the assumtions are... aggressive, to say the least.

According to Fortune/New Constructs ....[https://news.futunn.com/en/post/74244292/what-does-spacex-s-sky-high-valuation-imply-it-would?level=1&data\_ticket=17809234445217](https://news.futunn.com/en/post/74244292/what-does-spacex-s-sky-high-valuation-imply-it-would?level=1&data_ticket=17809234445217)....., even assuming a relatively modest 10% annual return for investors, SpaceX would need to: grow revenue from $18.7B today to roughly $1.1T by 2035, sustain \~50% annual revenue growth for 10 consecutive year and eventually generate more revenue than Amazon does today. So by 2035, a single company would account for roughly 2.4% of projected U.S. GDP. And thats using a surprisingly low cost of equity for a company operating in space, AI, and other high-risk growth markets.

SpaceX may be an extraordinary business. But does a $1.75T valuation imply one of the greatest growth stories in corporate history... or just one of the greatest cases of FOMO pricing?...or we should say that only time will answer...