Isn’t there a paradox in trying to predict a bull market using current market sentiment?
By the time sentiment is positive, prices have probably already moved up. But when sentiment is negative, most news will still look bad, which makes it hard to justify calling a new bull market early.
Which leads me to question if a bull market is only obvious in hindsight.
What actually signals the start of a bull market before it becomes obvious? I guess this question could also be asked vice versa as well (is it possible to predict a bear market?).
Btw I'm not saying we're in a bear market, this is just for general learning lol.
\[Edit\]: I know its a stupid question. Just trying to get different perspectives other than "if we knew, then we'd all be rich", although those replies are completely warranted in all fairness.