I've posted about this a few times. A few months ago I built two short technology models. Each one was trained on a different tech bear market - one on the dot-com collapse, one on the 2021 selloff. Backtested across time periods the other model was trained on. The idea was simple: two models looking at the same tech universe from different angles.
Then I waited for the setup to show up. When IYW got to \~$260 I started using them. Only shorts that are above 55% confidence. Top 20. 7% Stop-Loss. Chart below is hold through target date but I take profits at different times.
Prob leaning toward Long Tech opportunities now for the short to medium term after a nice sell off and a bit of consolidation.
The portfolio history chart is Image 1.
45 days of data. 68% win rate. +2.26% avg return per position.
The backtest images are the two models' original backtests(posted before). One covers the 2021–2022 selloff. The other covers the full dot-com collapse.
The picks screens are what I actually see every morning when I open the platform. Ranked by confidence. I can batch trade the whole list or pick my spots. Exits are set automatically.
Image 1 - Live Portfolio Chart (90 days) Top section: average confidence and actual returns by day. Middle: picks per day across both models combined. Bottom: the model's equity curve vs. the Technology benchmark since tracking began.
Image 2 & 3 - Original Backtests One model backtested on the 2021–2022 tech selloff. The other on the full dot-com collapse.