Posts  / SATS  / #POST-230250
REDDIT

$SATS: $36B Market Cap, ~$53-60B SpaceX Stake & One of the most shorted sp500 stocks

O
Jun 16, 2026 · 19:35

Current numbers:

​

Market cap: \~$36B

​

Short interest: \~25-30% of float

​

Among the most shorted stocks in the S&P 500

​

Expected SpaceX ownership: \~262M shares (\~2% of SpaceX)

​

SpaceX currently around $2.67T and briefly traded near $3T after-hours yesterday.

​

At a $2.67T valuation:

​

2% × $2.67T = $53.4B

​

At a $3T valuation:

​

2% × $3T = $60B

​

Meanwhile, the entire market cap of SATS is only \~$36B.

​

So the market is effectively saying:

​

$53-60B of SpaceX equity

​

Hughes

​

Boost Mobile

​

Remaining spectrum assets

​

All other operating assets

​

Are collectively worth $36B.

​

Bear case is debt, but they're getting cash from $T this month to cover the debt.

​

Every increase in SpaceX's valuation widens the gap between SATS' market cap and the value of its expected SpaceX stake.

​

Current discount is batshit, like ok there's a tax burden and debt but those can't possibly justify a 50% discount.

​

TL;DR

​

One of the most shorted stocks in the S&P 500

​

Expected SpaceX stake worth \~$53-60B

​

Entire company worth \~$36B

​

Bears focus on debt

​

Bulls focus on SpaceX

​

​

The more SpaceX goes up, the more difficult the current valuation becomes to justify.

​

\[CNBC just picked it up\](https://www.cnbc.com/2026/06/16/echostar-is-worth-at-least-161-a-share-because-of-spacex-stake-says-analyst.html)

​

Lots of discussion on X. Nothing on WSB.

​

I own shares/calls. Not financial advice. Do your own research.

Post image