Posts  / RBRK  / #POST-228877
REDDIT

Bull case for cyber security stocks is incredible.

A
Jun 1, 2026 · 10:35

Here's why I think cybersecurity is going to be one of the absolute best performing sectors over the next 5-10 years. We all know tech has been on a tear, but a lot of people are overlooking how the AI boom is going to fundamentally change the threat landscape, forcing companies to spend historic amounts of cash just to survive.

The numbers coming out lately are absolutely wild, and it's clear the market is heavily underestimating the scale of the upcoming spending wave. Global cybercrime losses are already projected to reach a massive **$23 trillion by 2027**. If you think CFOs can just cut this budget during a recession, your crazy.

Here is the breakdown of why the cyber landscape is shifting, and the specific tickers I'm watching.

# 1. The Weaponization of AI by Malicious Actors

Up until now, most cyber attacks were limited by human scale. Hackers had to manually write code, research vulnerabilities, and craft phishing emails. AI completely changes this math.

* **The Attack Volume is Skyrocketing:** AI-assisted attacks have increased by over **72% year-over-year**. Because hackers can automate the boring stuff, the average "breakout time" (the time it takes an attacker to move from your initial breach to other systems) has plummeted to just 29 minutes!
* **Hyper-Realistic Phishing at Scale:** No more obvious spelling mistakes from foreign hackers (ironic, I know). AI can scrape an executives LinkedIn, mimic their exact writing style, and launch thousands of highly personalized social engineering attacks simultaneously. Generative AI tools have caused phishing campaigns to surge by an insane **1,265%**, and deepfake fraud incidents are up **2,137% since 2022**.
* **State-Sponsored Cyber Warfare:** This isn't just kids in basements anymore. Nation-states like Russia, China, Iran, and North Korea are putting institutional funding into building autonomous AI military hacking tools. Advanced Persistent Threats (APTs) are launching non-stop, automated espionage campaigns targeting critical infrastructure, manufacturing (the #1 target right now), and government sectors.

# 2. The Danger of Internal "AI Mistakes"

It's not just about the bad guys outside, it's also about the employees inside. Companies are rushing to deploy AI tools like Copilot and internal LLMs without proper guardrails.

* **Data Leakage:** Employees are regularly pasting proprietary source code, customer PI data, and financial forecasts into public or poorly secured AI models. A recent report showed that while over 70% of companies have rushed to integrate AI into their business functions, **only 20% feel confident securing generative AI**. Meanwhile, **99% report that sensitive data is exposed to AI tools**.
* **Agentic Mistakes:** As companies give AI agents the authority to take actions (like replying to customer emails, moving data, or executing API calls), these agents will inevitably make mistakes. Hallucinations could trigger massive security loopholes or accidentally delete critical databases. Secure data posture is no longer optional.

# 3. The Play (Specific Stocks to Watch)

Legacy firewall tech from the 2010s isn't going to cut it anymore. To stop AI, you need AI-driven, data-centric security. The global AI cybersecurity market is currently worth around $30 billion but is expected to blast past **$134 billion by 2030** (growing at a 26.6% CAGR).

These are the three companies I am accumulated right now:

* **Rubrik ($RBRK):** The newest public player on this list but arguably one of the most critical. Rubrik doesn't just focus on stopping the attack, they focus on Zero Trust Data Security and cyber resilience. If an AI ransomware attack encrypts your whole system, you need to recover immediately. Their subscription ARR just grew an insane **34% year-over-year to $1.46 billion**, and subscription revenue alone skyrocketed **50%**. Their subscription dollar-based net retention rate is **above 120%**, meaning existing customers are spending way more every single year. With AI making breaches almost inevitable, Rubrik's focus on "data security" rather than just network security is where the puck is going.
* **Palo Alto Networks ($PANW):** The undisputed heavyweight champion of security platform consolidation. They are proving the skeptics wrong by growing total revenue at **15% year-over-year to $2.6 billion per quarter**. The real kicker is their Next-Gen Security (NGS) ARR, which just rocketed **33% to $6.33 billion** and they are targeting $20 billion NGS ARR by 2030. Enterprises prefer buying everything from one vendor rather than managing 50 different micro-products, and PANW is capturing all that massive demand.
* **SentinelOne ($S):** SentinelOne's entire thesis is built around autonomous, machine-learning driven security at the edge. Their latest quarterly numbers show **total revenue grew 21% to $277 million**, and Annualized Recurring Revenue (ARR) hit **$1.163 billion (up 23%)**. Even better, they finally flipped to a positive **4% Non-GAAP operating margin**, showing they are right on the cusp of sustained profitability. Their Purple AI analyst tool is a massive catalyst that lets junior security analysts hunt threats 40% faster using natural language, solving the massive cyber talent shortage.

# Conclusion / TL;DR

A lot of these cyber stocks are not even rivals in the traditional sense, they are complementary. Some operate at the network layer, some operate at the hardware layer, some operate at the software layer, while Rubrik operates as the "we've been fucked and need to recover everything" layer.

The macro tailwinds here are insane. This isn't just one stock winning, this is the entire sector winning. Cyber security is no longer an IT expense that CFOs can cut, it's a literal matter of business continuity. The introduction of malicious AI agents means the volume and speed of attacks will multiply exponentially.