Listen up, my bear market suffering apes. While the world watches the Middle East, we look at the charts. Iran conflict = Oil supply shock = $120+ Brent Crude. Here is why $UBER is the asymmetrical play of the century:
• The Gas Trap: 90%+ of private cars in the US are ICE (Internal Combustion Engines). When gas hits $6-$7/gallon, the "cost to drive" becomes a luxury.
• The EV Advantage: Uber has over 180,000+ EV drivers and is pushing for 100% in major cities by 2030. Their fuel cost is flat while yours doubles.
• The Pivot Point: Historical data shows that when gas prices spike by 20%, ride-share demand can jump by 10-15% as people ditch their SUVs to save on parking and fuel.
• The "Brrr" Factor: Higher demand + fixed supply = Aggressive Surge Pricing. Uber takes its cut from a much larger pie without the overhead of the gas price hike.
The Math: High demand + High surge + Low EV operating costs = Massive earnings beat and margin expansion.
Position: I got 25 Uber shares which are now back at there entry Price. I‘ll buy more once they are down -10%.
Thesis good or Bad?