The Iran war didn’t just change politics. It completely reshuffled the entire market and most people are still sleeping on it.

So I’ve been glued to my portfolio since Feb 28 and honestly the market rotation has been wild to watch in real time.

$XOM, $CVX, $OXY just kept going up while everything else bled. Makes sense because Hormuz handles 20% of global oil supply and it’s basically shut. Brent up 28% in a week. The energy trade was obvious in hindsight but most people I know missed it completely. And don’t get me wrong but defense is the quiet winner nobody talks about at dinner lol

$LMT, $NOC, $RTX ripping while the rest of the market panics. Governments are rewriting their military budgets in real time.

And then there’s the losers, $DAL, $UAL and $CCL got absolutely *destroyed*. Jet fuel doubled overnight. It’s brutal if you were holding any of those.

I’ve been following the debate on Blossom and it’s genuinely split down the middle, some people rotating hard into energy, others just sitting in cash waiting for a ceasefire to buy the dip across the board. Honestly I get both sides.

But here’s what keeps me up at night. If Hormuz stays closed another 30 days and oil hits $150, what actually survives? And what completely falls apart?

How are you guys positioned right now? Genuinely curious.