The Normal Distribution is a statistical model where data clusters around a central average the **mean**, and extreme outcomes become increasingly rare as you move away from that center.
Currently **BTC seats above 1,5 z score**. A Z-score tells you **how many Standard Deviations** a price is away from its average the Mean.
That score is the actual value of price and the actual probability for price to drop on **3 SD is 6%**. For BTC to just return to the mean price the **probability is 43%** and to say that BTC is on low value (-1,5sd) **There is a 83% probability to see that in the future.**
This post is for those who shorting.