Came across a fairly detailed [Monad ](https://coinmarketcap.com/currencies/monad/)price prediction article that takes a **cycle-based approach** instead of pushing fixed price targets.
It focuses on how MON could be valued depending on market structure, BTC dominance, and Layer 1 capital rotation, rather than giving “$X by year Y” numbers.
Key points covered:
– how Monad price prediction changes across different market phases
– why new Layer 1s often reprice during altseason rather than early BTC runs
– relative valuation logic compared to other high-performance L1s
– scenario-based outcomes and key variables to watch
Link:
[https://btcusa.com/price-prediction/monad-price-prediction-full-cycle-based-framework-for-mon-valuation/](https://btcusa.com/price-prediction/monad-price-prediction-full-cycle-based-framework-for-mon-valuation/)
Curious what people here think about this kind of framework approach for new L1s like Monad. Does it make sense to you, or do you still prefer more explicit price targets?
