HYMC: The 1.5B Oz Silver Vault is Locked. Eric Sprott Just Set the Trap
The Thesis: Shorts are gambling that the New York "Paper" price is real. The "Physical" math says they’re already dead.
# 1. The "True Float" Math (The Squeeze Trigger)
• Total Outstanding: 83M shares.
• The Locked Vault: Eric Sprott (44%), AMC (5%), and Institutions (15%) own \~67% of the company.
• The Tradable Float: Only \~27M shares actually exist for us to trade.
• The Short Position: \~5M shares are shorted (Official 10% of total, but \~18% of the TRUE tradable float).
• Verdict: If Sprott buys 5M more shares (which he’s been doing), the tradable supply falls dramatically forcing upward pressure on share price.
# 2. No Exit Door
• Short Average Entry: Estimated $42.50 to $58.00
• The Borrow Trap: Availability is dropping even while the price falls. Shorters are "doubling down" at the bottom of a massive gap between Western Paper Silver ($99) and Eastern Physical Silver ($129).
• The Catalyst: Eric Sprott’s last buy was $49.96. If he buys just 5M more shares (crossing 50%), he effectively deletes 20% of the remaining float.
# 3. The Tape Don't Lie
• Volume: 5M+ shares in the first 30 mins (Capitulation).
• Blocks: Massive 100k+ buy orders are hitting at $35-$39. The "Whales" are absorbing the retail panic.
Bottom Line: Shorts are currently profitable, but they are potentially "naked" against a billionaire who can lock the float at any second. When New York silver snaps back to the $130 global reality, there won't be enough shares for 5 million shorts to exit.
Position: Holding the line at $55 entry. Eric Sprott is in at $49.96. I’m not selling my claim on 1.5B ounces to a paper-shorter for $39.
**Disclaimer: Not financial advice and take no responsibility whatsoever. I like the metal and I like the mine.**