TLDR:
Trump will rig $INTC to go up, forcing companies to partner with them and build their foundry business, for national security and his pride.
INTC has a trump put, if he sees the stock starting to struggle, he will manipulate it back up. It’s embarrassing for him to buy a stock with the governments money and watch it go down, especially since he’s known as a business man. A lot of bad press will occur.
WSJ Reports that the Trump Admin has committed to help intel “find new customers to bolster the foundry business”$TSM is at $1T vs $INTC $150b, a lot of room to runA single meaningfully 14a foundry contract by Apple, xAI, open ai, etc will send INTC up 30%+ overnight. Why would these companies not at least baby commit to this, to appease trump and get favorable treatment in the future?The US is the most powerful country in the world, and to have that in your back pocket of a company is a scary cheat code. US takes their national security seriously, and they will insure Intel wins.
Reasons for it to go down
Trump announces he doesn’t care about onshoring US semi manufacturing anymore and shifts policy to globalist mentality and allows free trade of semis
US sells 10% stake in INTC
Reasons for it to go up
Announcement of new investor
Announcement of big company supporting intel
with orders to appease trump
US policy announced about onshoring more US semi manufacturing
Really big call option flow on INTC, a lot
of bets placed in last 2 weeks on calls.